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Options data tells a clear story: traders are betting on a sharp move higher. This Friday’s call open interest peaks at $330 (OI: 8,280) and $325 (OI: 7,739), with next-week’s $340 call (OI: 7,791) showing growing conviction. These strikes act like gravity points—if GOOG cracks $323.83, the $330 call becomes a magnet for momentum.
But it’s not just retail traders piling in. Block trades like (next Friday’s $340 call) and (next week’s $325 call) suggest institutional players are hedging or scaling up positions. The put/call ratio of 0.74 (calls > puts) reinforces this: the market expects more upside than downside.
AI Hype Meets Institutional Confidence: Why the Bull Case HoldsAlphabet’s recent news isn’t just noise—it’s fuel. Pivotal Research’s $400 price target hinges on Gemini AI and TPU dominance, while Buffett’s $4.9B stake and Amundi’s 5.8% Q3 increase signal long-term faith. Even the dividend hike (0.3% yield) shows management’s balance between reinvestment and shareholder returns.
But here’s the catch: AI optimism has inflated valuations across the sector. If Meta or Microsoft stumble, GOOG could face profit-taking. For now, though, the narrative is unshakable—AI infrastructure is the new oil, and Alphabet’s refining it.
Trade Ideas: Calls for the Short Term, Stock for the Long GameOptions Play: For a quick win, buy the (this Friday’s $330 call). If GOOG closes above $323.83 by expiry, this strike could jump 10–15%. For a longer bet, the (next Friday’s $340 call) offers leverage if the $333.73 Bollinger Band is cleared.Stock Play: Enter near $320–$322 if support holds. Target $333.73 (Bollinger upper band) first, then $340 (call OI cluster). A stop below $315 (put OI peak) would signal a shift in sentiment.Volatility on the Horizon: Ride the AI Wave or Hedge It?Alphabet’s options market is a battleground between bulls eyeing $340+ and bears hedging at $315. With RSI at 77.14 (overbought) and MACD still rising, the stock could retest $333.73 this week. If it holds, the $340 call OI becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy. But don’t ignore the puts— (next Friday’s $285 put) is a hedge if AI hype falters.
Final Take: GOOG’s setup is textbook bullish—technical momentum, options flow, and news all align. The $330–$340 range is where the action happens. Play it with calls for quick gains or stock for a ride on the AI gravy train. Just keep an eye on that $315 support—it’s the line in the sand.
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