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The options data tells a story of cautious optimism. For this Friday’s expirations, the call has 10,249 open contracts—the highest among OTM calls—while the put leads puts with 13,075 OI. This suggests traders are hedging downside risk but leaning into a $320+ move. The next Friday chain amplifies this: (11,863 OI) and (5,121 OI) show extended bullish positioning.
Block trades add intrigue. A $1.14M trade in GOOG20250919C235 and $467K in GOOG20250919C245 (both expiring in September) hint at long-term bullish bets. These could signal institutional confidence in Alphabet’s AI-driven growth trajectory, especially with Gemini 3 and TPU rentals gaining traction.
How News and Fundamentals Fuel the Bull CaseAlphabet’s recent news isn’t just noise—it’s a catalyst. The company’s 15.9% YoY revenue growth in Q3 2025 and 32.23% net margin outpace peers. Analysts at Wedbush and JPMorgan raised targets to $350 and $385, betting on AI and cloud expansion. The $3.48M government cloud contract and $7B data center deal with Hut 8 further solidify its infrastructure edge.
But here’s the catch: insider sales ($63.98M in three months) and a P/E of 29.96 (vs. S&P 500’s 22) mean the stock is priced for perfection. If AI hype falters or cloud margins shrink, the $294.77 lower Bollinger Band becomes critical support.
Actionable Trade Setups for TodayFor Options Traders:The next 72 hours will test GOOG’s resolve. A close above $313.03 could trigger a rally toward $320, aligning with both technical and options data. Conversely, a breakdown below $302.34 might force a retest of the $294.77 lower band. Either way, the options market has priced in a $320+ move by December 2026—making this a pivotal week for traders to position accordingly.

Focus on daily option trades

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