Alphabet (GOOG) Options Highlight $320 Call Focus: Bullish Setup Amid AI-Driven Momentum on Dec 19, 2025

Generated by AI AgentOptions FocusReviewed byTianhao Xu
Friday, Dec 19, 2025 12:55 pm ET2min read
GOOG--
  • Current Price Action: GOOGGOOG-- trades at $306.32, up 0.85% with volume surging to 11.4M shares. Intraday highs hit $307.62, nearing the 30D support/resistance zone of $319.90–$320.84.
  • Options Imbalance: Call open interest (1.18M) outpaces puts (865K), with heavy call OI at $320 (10,249 contracts this Friday) and $315 (6,882). The put/call ratio for open interest is 0.73, signaling bullish bias.
  • News Catalysts: Analysts raised price targets to $385 (JPMorgan), citing AI advancements like Gemini 3 and cloud deals. Q3 2025 earnings beat estimates by 25%, and institutional ownership hit 27.26%.

The Core Insight: GOOG’s options market and technicals align on a bullish narrative. Heavy call positioning at $320 and $315 suggests a potential breakout above $307.62, while oversold RSI (36.19) hints at near-term rebound. The risk? A breakdown below $302.34 could trigger panic selling.What the Options Chain Reveals About Market Sentiment

The options data tells a story of cautious optimism. For this Friday’s expirations, the GOOG20251219C320GOOG20251219C320-- call has 10,249 open contracts—the highest among OTM calls—while the GOOG20251219P290GOOG20251219P290-- put leads puts with 13,075 OI. This suggests traders are hedging downside risk but leaning into a $320+ move. The next Friday chain amplifies this: GOOG20251226C320GOOG20251226C320-- (11,863 OI) and GOOG20251226C350GOOG20251226C350-- (5,121 OI) show extended bullish positioning.

Block trades add intrigue. A $1.14M trade in GOOG20250919C235 and $467K in GOOG20250919C245 (both expiring in September) hint at long-term bullish bets. These could signal institutional confidence in Alphabet’s AI-driven growth trajectory, especially with Gemini 3 and TPU rentals gaining traction.

How News and Fundamentals Fuel the Bull Case

Alphabet’s recent news isn’t just noise—it’s a catalyst. The company’s 15.9% YoY revenue growth in Q3 2025 and 32.23% net margin outpace peers. Analysts at Wedbush and JPMorgan raised targets to $350 and $385, betting on AI and cloud expansion. The $3.48M government cloud contract and $7B data center deal with Hut 8 further solidify its infrastructure edge.

But here’s the catch: insider sales ($63.98M in three months) and a P/E of 29.96 (vs. S&P 500’s 22) mean the stock is priced for perfection. If AI hype falters or cloud margins shrink, the $294.77 lower Bollinger Band becomes critical support.

Actionable Trade Setups for TodayFor Options Traders:
  • Bullish Play: Buy the GOOG20251226C320 call (strike price $320, expiring Dec 26). Rationale: Heavy OI at this level suggests a liquidity magnet. If GOOG breaks above $307.62 (intraday high), this strike could see rapid premium gains.
  • Bearish Hedge: Sell the GOOG20251226P290GOOG20251226P290-- put (strike $290) against long GOOG shares. The 13,075 OI indicates strong put buyers ready to step in if the stock dips below $302.34.

For Stock Traders:
  • Entry Near $313.03: The middle Bollinger Band at $313.03 acts as dynamic support. If GOOG holds here, target $320 (30D support/resistance zone). Stop-loss below $302.34 invalidates the bullish case.
  • Short-Term Scalp: Buy on dips to $305–$307, aiming for $310–$312. The RSI at 36.19 suggests a rebound is likely, but volume must confirm the move.

Volatility on the Horizon

The next 72 hours will test GOOG’s resolve. A close above $313.03 could trigger a rally toward $320, aligning with both technical and options data. Conversely, a breakdown below $302.34 might force a retest of the $294.77 lower band. Either way, the options market has priced in a $320+ move by December 2026—making this a pivotal week for traders to position accordingly.

Focus on daily option trades

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