Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) Market Overview: October 10, 2025

• Price action saw a volatile intraday range from $0.00419 to $0.00533, ending near mid-range at $0.00455.
• Momentum diverged during late ET hours as price weakened despite moderate volume, hinting at uncertain follow-through.
• Bollinger Bands showed mild expansion in late-night trading, reflecting a rise in volatility without a clear trend.
• Key support appears at $0.00465, while $0.00510 represents a critical resistance level from earlier in the session.
• Fibonacci retracements indicate a potential pullback target near $0.00478, aligning with a recent consolidation phase.

Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) opened at $0.0042 at 12:00 ET−1 and climbed to a high of $0.00533 before retracting to a low of $0.00419 and closing at $0.00455 by 12:00 ET. The 24-hour volume totaled 1,291,016,655.0 and the notional turnover (amount × price) reached approximately $6,168,413. A sharp intraday reversal in late ET hours suggests weakening momentum despite moderate volume.

Structure & Formations

The candlestick pattern suggests a bearish reversal from a prior bullish surge, particularly in the final hours of the session. A notable bearish engulfing pattern formed around 20:45–21:00 ET, with price closing below the prior candle’s open. A doji near $0.00462 at 19:45 ET indicated indecision among traders. Key support levels appear at $0.00465 (38.2% retracement) and $0.00453 (61.8% retracement), while resistance rests at $0.00478 and $0.00510.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart showed bearish divergence late in the session, with price falling below both. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA sits slightly above the 200-period MA, suggesting a neutral to mildly bearish bias over the longer term. A move above the 50-period MA could signal a potential short-term rebound.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line turned negative after a mid-day bullish crossover, indicating a loss of upward momentum. RSI crossed below 50 in the late hours, entering oversold territory around 04:00 ET. However, this did not trigger a meaningful rebound, suggesting weak follow-through from longs. The RSI remains in the 45–50 range at the close, suggesting a potential consolidation phase.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands expanded from late-night hours into the early morning, with price fluctuating near the upper and lower boundaries, showing increased volatility. By the afternoon, the bands began to contract, indicating a potential consolidation phase. Price closed near the mid-line of the bands, suggesting a lack of strong directional bias.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the early morning hours, peaking at over 104 million at 09:45 ET, aligning with the sharp price increase to $0.00509. However, the volume during the final 3–4 hours of the session remained subdued, despite further price declines. Turnover showed a similar pattern, with a peak at $0.00509, but weaker turnover during the final leg down. The divergence suggests that the initial rally may have been driven by speculative buying without strong follow-through.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci levels to the key swing from $0.00419 to $0.00533, the 38.2% retracement level is at $0.00465 and the 61.8% level at $0.00453. Price tested the 38.2% level multiple times during the session but failed to break through. A sustained close below $0.00453 would target the 78.6% retracement at $0.00440, though that remains speculative.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could involve entering long positions on a bullish engulfing pattern, provided it occurs at or near key support levels and is confirmed by a bullish MACD crossover. Short positions could be triggered on bearish reversal patterns, particularly if RSI moves into overbought territory and volume declines. The recent bearish engulfing pattern at 21:00 ET, coinciding with RSI crossing below 50, could serve as a historical test case for this approach. Traders may also consider Fibonacci levels for exit or stop-loss placement, especially at the 61.8% retracement.