Alien Worlds/Tether Market Overview (TLMUSDT) – October 26, 2025

• Price edged higher to a 24-hour high of $0.00358 amid mixed candle action.
• On-balance volume increased sharply, with turnover surging past $13M as price consolidated.
• A key 0.00355–0.00358 range emerged as immediate resistance, with support at 0.00348–0.0035.
• RSI signaled overbought conditions toward the close, while MACD showed fading momentum.
• Volatility expanded during the early New York session, with price widening out of a consolidation band.

The Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) pair opened at $0.00348 on October 25 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.00357 24 hours later on October 26 at the same time. The pair touched a high of $0.0036 and a low of $0.00345 during the period. Total volume traded amounted to over 94 million TLM tokens, with notional turnover exceeding $13.5 million. Price action showed a gradual push higher following a period of consolidation and a breakout attempt from a tight range.

Structure & Formations

Price action over the 24-hour period was characterized by a steady push higher, particularly in the final 6–8 hours of trading. A key consolidation phase between $0.00348 and $0.00353 gave way to a decisive breakout attempt after 09:00 ET on October 26, with a bullish flag formation emerging as a key setup. Notable candlestick patterns included a bullish engulfing pattern around 09:30 ET and a hanging man at 02:30 ET, which hinted at potential exhaustion in the downward direction. A key support level emerged at $0.00348–0.0035, with resistance forming at $0.00355–0.00358.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed over multiple times, indicating a volatile yet directionally ambiguous trend. The 50-period MA (at around $0.00351) acted as a dynamic support during the afternoon, while the 20-period MA (at $0.00353) helped confirm the bullish breakout in the late trading session. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA was at $0.00352, with the 200-period MA lagging at $0.0035, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward bias.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line remained above zero for much of the final hours of trading, with the signal line rising in tandem, indicating growing bullish momentum. However, the RSI surged to over 65 by 14:30 ET, suggesting the pair may be entering overbought territory. A divergence between the RSI and the price rise after 13:45 ET signaled potential caution ahead. While the MACD showed positive momentum, the RSI’s divergence hinted at a potential consolidation or pullback in the near term.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly during the late New York and early London sessions, with the upper Bollinger Band reaching $0.0036 and the lower band hitting $0.00345. Price action spent a significant portion of the period within a narrow band from $0.00348 to $0.00353 before breaking out toward the upper band. By the close, price was trading near the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential short-term overbought condition.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked dramatically after 09:00 ET, with over 13 million tokens traded in the 15-minute period around 10:00 ET. The notional turnover increased by nearly 300% compared to earlier in the day, reaching $1.1 million at that time. Volume and price action aligned strongly during the breakout phase, with no significant divergence observed. This suggested strong conviction from buyers and a possible continuation of the upward trend, though a pullback should be expected as the RSI nears overbought levels.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the key swing from $0.00345 to $0.0036, the 38.2% level was around $0.00352 and the 61.8% level at $0.00354. Price held the 38.2% level well during consolidation and pushed through the 61.8% level during the late-session breakout. The 78.6% level at $0.00357 marked a potential near-term resistance, which price approached at the close. A break above this level could signal a stronger bullish bias for the next 24 hours.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the recent bullish pattern development and strong volume confirmation during the breakout, a backtesting strategy based on the Bullish Engulfing pattern could be explored for TLMUSDT. This candlestick pattern, characterized by a large bullish candle following a smaller bearish one, historically has shown potential for a 3-day upward move. If the Bullish Engulfing pattern is confirmed at key levels such as $0.00349 or $0.00353, a 3-day hold strategy from the pattern confirmation point may capture meaningful upside. However, the RSI's overbought reading suggests caution; a pullback before continuation is likely. Investors should consider trailing stops above key support levels and target 38.2–50% Fibonacci extensions as potential profit-taking points.