Alien Worlds/Tether Market Overview

Summary• Price consolidated near 0.003, with 61.8% Fibonacci level acting as key support.• Rising volume and strong momentum hint at potential upside, but RSI near overbought suggests caution.• Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility, with price testing upper band resistance in late ET hours.

Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) opened at 0.00298 on 2025-11-12 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.00302 on 2025-11-13 at 12:00 ET, trading between 0.00293 and 0.00308 over the 24-hour period. Total volume amounted to 165,183,170.0 and notional turnover reached 489.75. The pair showed a strong bias toward consolidation above the 0.00301 psychological level.

Structure & Formations

Price found support at the 0.00299-0.00301 range, suggesting strong buying pressure. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged near the close of the 24-hour window, hinting at potential short-term strength. A key resistance at 0.00305–0.00306 has appeared multiple times in the data, and a break above this level may invite further buying.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart have been in close proximity, signaling potential consolidation. On a daily basis, the 50-period MA is above the 100- and 200-period lines, indicating a mildly bullish trend for the short to medium term.

MACD & RSI

MACD crossed above its signal line (golden cross) early in the 24-hour period, indicating a bullish shift in momentum. RSI reached 65 by the end of the period, nearing overbought territory and suggesting the possibility of a pullback or consolidation phase.

Bollinger Bands

Price tested the upper band multiple times in the latter half of the 24-hour window, with volatility expanding slightly. A break above the upper band could signal increased conviction in the bullish trend.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the 18:00–21:00 ET period and again in the early hours of the following day. Turnover also increased during these times, aligning with higher price activity. No significant divergence between price and volume was observed, suggesting strong conviction in the bullish moves.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci levels derived from the 0.00293 to 0.00308 swing show that 0.00301 (61.8%) is a strong support level. The 0.00305 (38.2%) level appears as resistance, which has acted as a barrier several times.

Backtest Hypothesis

To explore the viability of a MACD-based strategy for TLMUSDT, one could consider a setup where long positions are entered on a golden cross and exited on a death cross, using daily close prices. Given the recent MACD divergence and RSI readings, a backtest from 2022-01-01 to 2025-11-13 could offer insights into the strategy's effectiveness. Incorporating a trailing stop loss at 2% or a maximum holding period of 10 days may help mitigate risk in a volatile market like this one. The MACD crossover strategy appears to align with the current technical structure, particularly if the price continues to respect key support and resistance levels.