Alien Worlds/Tether Market Overview for 2025-09-18

• Price advanced from $0.00465 to a high of $0.00496, showing strong bullish momentum in the 24-hour period.
• Volume surged to a peak of 7.87 million in the early hours of 08:00 ET, indicating heightened market interest.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed around 19:30–19:45 ET, followed by a consolidation phase into the early morning.
• RSI hit overbought levels in the mid-session, suggesting potential near-term resistance.
• Volatility expanded significantly after 18:00 ET, with Bollinger Bands widening to reflect heightened trading activity.

Price and Volume Summary

Alien Worlds/Tether (TLMUSDT) opened at $0.00465 on 2025-09-17 at 12:00 ET, reaching a 24-hour high of $0.00496 on 2025-09-18 at 03:15 ET, and closing at $0.00492 by 12:00 ET. Total volume across the 24-hour period was approximately 69.4 million, with a notional turnover of around $337,000.

Structure & Formations

The price of TLMUSDT broke through key resistance at $0.00491 and tested $0.00496, which appears to be a temporary ceiling. A bullish engulfing pattern developed between 19:30–19:45 ET, signaling strong buying pressure after a brief pullback. A doji appeared at 22:45–23:00 ET, hinting at indecision and potential consolidation ahead.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period SMA crossed above the 50-period SMA mid-session, signaling a short-term bullish bias. Meanwhile, on the daily timeframe, the 50-period SMA appears to act as a dynamic support near $0.00487, currently below the current price.

MACD & RSI

The MACD showed a positive crossover early in the afternoon, confirming the bullish thrust. RSI reached overbought territory at 73–75 around midday and again in the early hours of 09:00–10:00 ET, suggesting a potential pause in the upward trend. However, strong volume during these periods supports a continuation of bullish momentum in the short term.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly after 18:00 ET, with the Bollinger Bands widening and price reaching the upper band multiple times in the evening session. By early morning, the bands began to contract slightly, indicating a possible period of consolidation before further direction.

Volume & Turnover

The highest volume spike occurred at 08:00 ET, with 7.87 million units traded, coinciding with a price consolidation phase near $0.00488–$0.0049. Notional turnover followed a similar pattern, with a divergence seen in the 08:00–08:30 ET period, where volume decreased slightly but price remained stable. This suggests reduced conviction in the short-term direction but continued market presence.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the recent swing high of $0.00496 and swing low of $0.00471, the 38.2% and 61.8% levels align with $0.00485 and $0.00489, respectively. Price tested the 38.2% level multiple times and is currently hovering near the 50% retracement zone at $0.00483–$0.00485, which may act as a key area of support or resistance.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could involve entering long positions on a bullish engulfing pattern confirmation, with a stop loss placed below the pattern’s low and a take profit at the 38.2–61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. Given the recent overbought RSI readings and high volume spikes, incorporating a trailing stop or volatility-based position sizing could enhance risk-adjusted returns. The strategy would aim to capture short-term momentum with defined risk parameters, particularly during periods of expanding Bollinger Bands and positive MACD crossovers.