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Summary
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Gold Sector in Retreat: AEM Follows NEM's Sharp Decline
Agnico Eagle Mines’ -3.9% move mirrors Newmont’s (-5.35%) as both stocks trade below their 52W highs. The gold sector’s coordinated selloff underscores a lack of differentiation among peers, with AEM’s 20.64 P/E ratio and NEM’s underperformance reflecting sector-wide profit-taking. While AEM remains above its 200D MA, the sector’s technical breakdown suggests further downside risks unless macroeconomic catalysts reverse the trend.
Options Playbook: Leveraged Puts and Calls for AEM's Volatile Outlook
• MACD: 1.19 (bullish divergence), RSI: 56.47 (neutral), Bollinger Bands: $153.23–$173.16 (AEM near lower band)
• 200D MA: $129.007 (support), 30D MA: $165.91 (resistance)
• Key Levels: Watch 163.196 (middle BB) and 153.23 (lower BB) for directional clues
• Top Options:
• AEM20251128P152.5 (Put): IV 39.93%, Leverage 146.01%, Delta -0.192, Theta -0.0388, Gamma 0.0271, Turnover 4,784
• AEM20251128P155 (Put): IV 40.49%, Leverage 90.74%, Delta -0.273, Theta -0.0255, Gamma 0.0326, Turnover 2,170
• AEM20251128P152.5 offers high leverage (146.01%) and moderate delta (-0.192), ideal for a 5% downside scenario (targeting $152.99 payoff). AEM20251128P155 balances IV (40.49%) and liquidity (2,170 turnover), positioning for a $155.00 floor. Aggressive bears may consider these puts as AEM tests support levels. If $163.196 breaks, AEM20251128P152.5 offers short-side potential.
Backtest Agnico Eagle Mines Stock Performance
The back-test is complete. Key performance highlights for the “AEM -4 % Intraday Plunge Rebound” strategy (01 Jan 2022 – 20 Nov 2025) are: • Total return: ≈ 84 % • Annualised return: ≈ 18.8 % • Maximum draw-down: ≈ 28.6 % • Sharpe ratio: 0.79 • Average trade: +2.0 % (winners ≈ 8.7 %, losers ≈ -5.0 %) Parameter choices 1. Stop-loss 8 % (auto-set): a common short-term risk cap for single-stock swing trades. 2. Max holding 10 trading days (auto-set): captures the typical mean-reversion window after sharp sell-offs while limiting capital tie-up. You can tune these in a follow-up run if you wish.Interactive report Open the module below to explore trade log, equity curve, distribution of returns, and risk metrics.Feel free to adjust the risk parameters or test alternative exit rules, and I can rerun the analysis.
Act Now: AEM's Support Levels and Sector Weakness Signal Key Moves
Agnico Eagle Mines’ 3.9% drop reflects a sector-wide selloff driven by fading Fed rate cut hopes and macroeconomic uncertainty. Immediate support at $163.196 (middle BB) and $153.23 (lower BB) will dictate near-term direction. With Newmont (-5.35%) leading the sector’s retreat, investors should monitor AEM’s ability to hold above 200D MA ($129.007). Aggressive options plays like AEM20251128P152.5 offer leveraged downside exposure, but caution is warranted until macroeconomic clarity emerges. Watch for $163.196 breakdown or sector leader NEM’s performance to gauge next steps.

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