ADP Rises 1.08% on Institutional Buy-In and Dividend Hike Despite Ranking 234th in $440M Daily Trading Volume

Generated by AI AgentAinvest Market Brief
Wednesday, Aug 20, 2025 8:28 pm ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- ADP shares rose 1.08% on August 20, 2025, driven by institutional buying and a $1.54 quarterly dividend yielding 2.0%.

- Institutional investors increased stakes, including Corient IA and GAMMA, while Q2 earnings of $2.26/share exceeded estimates.

- Analysts valued ADP at $387.79/share via DCF, noting a 21.2% undervaluation despite a 30.4x P/E ratio and "Hold" consensus rating.

- Risks include competitive pressures and integration costs, though $4.3B in 12-month free cash flow and 6.3% revenue growth highlight resilience.

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) rose 1.08% on August 20, 2025, with a trading volume of $0.44 billion, ranking 234th in daily activity. Institutional investors adjusted their holdings, including Corient IA LLC acquiring 1,000 shares and GAMMA Investing LLC increasing its stake by 13.8%. The company announced a $1.54 per share quarterly dividend, yielding 2.0% annually, and reported Q2 earnings of $2.26 per share, exceeding estimates. Analysts noted a 21.2% undervaluation via discounted cash flow analysis, though the stock trades at a 30.4x P/E ratio, slightly below its peer average.

ADP’s 12-month free cash flow totaled $4.3 billion, with projections of $8.5 billion by 2035. A DCF model valued the stock at $387.79 per share, suggesting a margin of safety for long-term investors. Meanwhile, the company’s 19.84% net margin and 6.3% year-over-year revenue growth highlight operational resilience. Analysts remain cautiously optimistic, with a consensus “Hold” rating and an average target price of $314.33. However, risks include competitive pressures and integration costs from recent strategic investments.

A backtest of a strategy buying the top 500 stocks by daily trading volume and holding for one day from 2022 to 2025 yielded a 0.98% average daily return, with a total return of 31.52% over 365 days. This indicates short-term momentum potential but underscores market volatility and timing risks.

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