ADA's $1 Hurdle: Can Science-Driven Cardano Break Through or Fall Further?

Cardano (ADA), the sixth-ranked cryptocurrency in terms of community optimism according to recent sentiment analysis, remains in the $0.80 range as of September 3, 2025, following multiple failed attempts to retest the $1 threshold. Market participants are closely watching key support levels at $0.77 and $0.70, with analysts suggesting that a rebound from these levels could trigger a short-term relief rally if buyers regain control [1]. Meanwhile, resistance levels remain at $0.90 and $1, with the latter acting as a critical psychological and technical barrier.

A technical assessment of ADA’s performance since late 2024 reveals a pattern of lower highs, signaling continued bearish momentum despite the asset finding consistent support above $0.50. The repeated rejection at the $1 level suggests that institutional or large-scale selling pressure has yet to subside. This trend has not discouraged all investors; some community members remain optimistic about Cardano’s long-term fundamentals, especially with the anticipated Ouroboros Leios upgrade expected in 2026 [2].

The recent volume profile shows a decline in seller interest, with only six daily candles closing in green since mid-August. While this may indicate weakening bearish control, it does not necessarily signal an imminent reversal. Traders are advised to monitor the daily 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA50) as a key indicator. If ADA can consistently hold above this level, it could potentially move toward the $1 mark, as predicted by some technical analysts [1].

From a broader development perspective, Cardano’s approach has been characterized by a scientific and methodical strategy. The platform has emphasized security, decentralization, and academic research over rapid development or transaction speed, which has contributed to slower progress in terms of adoption compared to some of its peers, such as XRP. However, the upcoming Ouroboros Leios upgrade is expected to address scalability concerns while maintaining the platform’s security and decentralization principles [2]. If successful, the update could enhance the platform’s appeal to developers and users alike, potentially increasing ADA’s liquidity and real-world usage.

Despite these long-term prospects, the current price action remains bearish, and investors are advised to exercise caution. While bullish sentiment is present within the community, it is important to note that market sentiment can shift rapidly, especially in the volatile cryptocurrency space. The next few weeks will likely be critical in determining whether ADA can stabilize and begin a sustained recovery or if further consolidation below $0.80 will be necessary before any meaningful move higher can occur [1].

Source:

[1] Cardano (ADA) Price Predictions for the Week Ahead (https://cryptopotato.com/cardano-ada-price-predictions-for-the-week-ahead/)

[2] How do you all feel about Cardano (ADA)? (https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoMarkets/comments/1n642lz/how_do_you_all_feel_about_cardano_ada/)