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Here’s the takeaway: AAPL’s options market is pricing in a sharp rally, but short-term volatility could test $274.77 support. Let’s break down why this is a pivotal moment for traders.
Bullish OI Clusters and Whale MovesThe options chain is screaming upside potential. For next Friday’s expiry, the $300 call (
) has 47,172 open contracts—nearly triple the $305 strike. That’s not just noise; it’s a bet that AAPL will break above its 30D moving average ($272.88) and test the upper Bollinger Band ($286.71).Meanwhile, deep puts like the $200 strike (
) with 21,635 open contracts suggest some downside hedging. But the put/call ratio of 0.70 (calls dominate) tells me the crowd is leaning long. Don’t ignore the block trades either: 880 $240 calls bought in October and 600 $235 puts in September signal big players pre-positioning for a post-AI rally.Analyst Hype Meets Market RealityWedbush’s $350 target isn’t just a number—it’s a psychological catalyst. The stock’s 13% YTD gain and 52-week high of $288.62 show momentum. But today’s 0.5% dip (to $277.5) tests whether bulls can hold above the 200D MA ($228.15).
Here’s the catch: If AI partnerships with Google Gemini materialize as expected, the $277.5 price could be a buying opportunity. But a close below $269.36 support would trigger panic in the short-term. The RSI at 58.9 suggests we’re not in overbought territory yet—room to run, but patience is key.
Actionable Trade IdeasOptions Play: Buy the (next Friday’s $280 call) if AAPL breaks above $279.67. With 29,346 open contracts, this strike balances affordability and leverage. For a safer bet, sell the AAPL20251219C300 against a long $280 call to create a bull call spread.Stock Play: Consider entry near $274.77 (middle Bollinger Band) with a target at $285 (30D MA + 12%). Place a stop-loss below $269.36. If AAPL holds here, the 100D MA ($246.57) becomes a distant concern.Volatility on the HorizonThe next two weeks will separate the opportunists from the spectators. A breakout above $286.71 could ignite the $300 calls, while a dip below $262.83 (lower Bollinger) would validate the puts. Either way, the AI narrative gives AAPL a clear path to $350—but only if fundamentals hold. Stay nimble, and let the options data guide your entries.
Bottom line: This is a stock at a crossroads. The bulls have the upper hand, but the road to $350 won’t be smooth. Position yourself at the key levels, and watch the AI story unfold.

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