A Better Investment Option than Dutch Bros: Consider This Coffee Stock for Growth Potential

Sunday, Jun 30, 2024 11:28 am ET1min read

Overlooking Dutch Bros (NYSE: BROS) for a superior coffee stock is advisable, as shares have risen 79% in nine months despite a recent 45% drop. While Dutch Bros' Q1 2024 results showed a 39% revenue increase and robust operating income, its valuation at $6.5 billion may not justify its growth potential of 4,000 stores in 10-15 years. In contrast, Starbucks' lower valuation and established presence offer a more attractive opportunity for investors.


As the coffee industry continues to evolve, investors are constantly seeking out the best stocks to add to their portfolios. While Dutch Bros (BROS) has garnered attention for its impressive growth in the past nine months, with shares rising 79%, it's essential to consider whether it offers a better value proposition than industry heavyweight Starbucks.

According to recent financial reports (1), Dutch Bros recorded strong Q1 2024 results, with revenue jumping 39% year-over-year to $275 million. The company also achieved a robust operating income, with adjusted EBITDA climbing 120% year-over-year to $53 million. Dutch Bros' same-store sales growth was also noteworthy, increasing by 10% and marking the strongest single quarter growth since Q4 2021.

However, despite these positive figures, Dutch Bros' valuation of $6.5 billion may not be commensurate with its growth potential of 4,000 stores in the next 10-15 years (2). In contrast, Starbucks, with a lower valuation, offers a more attractive opportunity for investors.

Starbucks' financial performance in its most recent quarter was impressive as well. The company reported revenue of $8.1 billion, a 10% increase year-over-year (3). Starbucks also achieved robust operating income, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 24% year-over-year to $1.4 billion.

Starbucks' established presence in the market and its diverse range of products and services offer investors a stable and reliable investment option. While Dutch Bros' growth potential is undoubtedly exciting, investors must consider the risks associated with investing in a relatively new and untested company.

Moreover, investors should also be aware of potential challenges facing both companies. Dutch Bros faces the risk of rising ingredient costs, particularly for sugar and cocoa, which could impact future profitability (1). Starbucks, on the other hand, faces the risk of increased labor costs due to minimum wage increases and potential product outages due to high demand (1).

In conclusion, while Dutch Bros has undoubtedly captured the attention of investors with its impressive growth in recent months, investors must consider its valuation and potential risks when deciding whether to invest. Starbucks, with its established presence and stable financial performance, offers a more attractive option for investors seeking a reliable investment in the coffee industry.

Sources:

1. Dutch Bros, Inc. (BROS) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript. GuruFocus. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/dutch-bros-inc-bros-q1-082601318.html
2. Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) Company Profile. Yahoo Finance. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BROS/profile?p=BROS
3. Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Q2 2024 Earnings Release. Starbucks. https://www.starbucks.com/corporate/investors/news-releases/press-release-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Q2-Fiscal-2024-Results/default.aspx

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