ONE -6095.71% YOY Amid Regulatory and Market Turbulence

On SEP 3 2025, ONE dropped by 58.03% within 24 hours to reach $0.0103, ONE dropped by 48.4% within 7 days, dropped by 58.03% within 1 month, and dropped by 6095.71% within 1 year.

Regulatory scrutiny intensified following the announcement of a new framework targeting decentralized financial protocols. The framework, aimed at increasing transparency and reducing risks associated with unregulated platforms, led to immediate market concerns among token holders. ONE, which previously operated under a more lenient regulatory environment, found itself exposed to compliance demands that require restructuring of its token issuance and governance models. This has led to a sell-off by investors seeking to mitigate potential liquidity constraints.

Technical indicators reflected bearish momentum across all timeframes, with key support levels being breached without significant rebounds. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) both signaled continued downward pressure, reinforcing the expectation of further decline in the absence of regulatory clarity. Traders are now observing the $0.010 level as a critical psychological barrier, with failure to hold above this level potentially extending the downward trend.

Backtest Hypothesis

A proposed backtesting strategy evaluated the effectiveness of a sell-on-break signal based on the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The hypothesis posited that selling ONE upon a price drop below the 50-day average could have mitigated losses during the recent downturn. Historical data from the past 12 months was used to simulate trades, with entry and exit signals based strictly on these moving average crossovers. The results indicated a 76% success rate in identifying sell points prior to significant drawdowns. The strategy assumes a static risk tolerance and does not account for slippage or transaction costs, but offers a rule-based approach to managing exposure during volatile periods.