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A potential U.S. government shutdown could begin at 12:01 a.m. on Saturday if Congress fails to agree on a funding bill. A Republican-backed spending plan endorsed by Trump failed in a House vote, leaving the government on the brink of a shutdown.
Here's what to expect if the shutdown occurs and how it could affect daily life in the U.S.:
1. Nonessential Operations Will Halt; Federal Workers Will Be Furloughed
During a government shutdown, nonessential federal tasks are paused, with many workers furloughed without pay until Congress approves new funding. Essential operations, such as national security and emergency services, continue. The nonprofit Bipartisan Policy Center estimates that about 875,000 federal employees would be furloughed, excluding active-duty military personnel.
2. Delays in Tax Refunds Due to Reduced IRS Staffing
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) will continue processing automated tax returns, but enforcement actions, non-automated refunds, and certain taxpayer services will cease. If the shutdown extends into January, the IRS plans to cut staffing for the tax-filing season, will operate at significantly reduced capacity.
3. Travel Disruptions: Longer Security Lines and Closed National Parks
Transportation security at airports will function, but unpaid TSA staff shortages could result in longer lines for passengers. Similarly, air traffic controllers, who also work without pay during shutdowns, may face staffing challenges, potentially affecting flight schedules. Meanwhile, national parks often close during shutdowns, disrupting travel plans.
4. Social Security and Postal Services Will Remain Operational
Critical government services such as Social Security payments and U.S. Postal Service mail deliveries will continue uninterrupted. These programs are funded through separate appropriations and are unaffected by lapses in federal funding.
5. Environmental and Agricultural Programs May See Delays
Environmental and food safety inspections, which rely on federal staff, could be delayed. USDA nutrition programs, supporting millions of Americans, will operate on minimal staff. Additionally, small farmers may face challenges securing new loans during the shutdown.
How Long Could the Shutdown Last?
Since 1976, there have been 12 government shutdowns, typically brief and with limited impacts. However, there have been exceptions: In 2013, the government was shut down for 16 days, furloughing 850,000 federal employees; The longest shutdown occurred in 2018, lasting 35 days, affecting several major agencies.
Does a Shutdown Save Money?
No, shutdowns do not save taxpayer dollars. Federal workers receive back pay after funding is restored, and the process of winding down and restarting operations incurs significant costs. Public policy groups and Congressional research confirm that shutdowns are inefficient and counterproductive.
Conclusion
A government shutdown, while disruptive, does not yield economic savings and creates widespread inconvenience across various sectors. From delays in tax refunds to travel disruptions and environmental program halts, the potential impacts underscore the urgency for Congress to find a resolution.
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