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3 No-Brainer Energy Stocks to Buy Right Now

Charles HayesWednesday, Apr 23, 2025 4:42 am ET
40min read

The energy sector in 2025 is at a crossroads. While renewable energy adoption accelerates, traditional oil and gas remain critical to global energy security. Amid this transition, three companies—ConocoPhillips (COP), EOG Resources (EOG), and Coterra Energy (CTRA)—stand out for their resilience, growth potential, and shareholder-friendly policies. Here’s why these stocks deserve a place in your portfolio.

1. ConocoPhillips (COP): A Giant with Ambition

ConocoPhillips has emerged as a leader in the evolving energy landscape, leveraging strategic moves to solidify its position. The acquisition of Marathon Oil in late 2024 added 2 billion barrels of resources, boosting production capacity and diversifying its asset base. This move, combined with a $6 billion stock buyback program and a 34% dividend hike, underscores its commitment to rewarding shareholders.

Why now?
- Production Growth: Year-over-year output rose 6%, driven by Permian Basin expansions.
- Analyst Optimism: JPMorgan upgraded COP to “Overweight” with a $123 price target, while the consensus target sits at $133.82.
- Valuation: At $102.19 per share, COP trades at a discount to its growth trajectory.

2. EOG Resources (EOG): Mastering the Permian Play

EOG Resources has consistently outperformed peers through operational excellence and disciplined capital allocation. Its Utica Shale wells delivered production growth that exceeded expectations, while aggressive buybacks fueled by strong free cash flow have maximized shareholder returns.

Key Strengths:
- Financial Fortitude: A debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 reflects its conservative balance sheet.
- Growth Trajectory: Analysts project a $145.17 price target, implying a 14% upside from its current $127.56 share price.
- Dividend Reliability: A 3.1% yield, supported by consistent EPS growth to $12.40.

3. Coterra Energy (CTRA): The Cost-Cutting Champion

Coterra Energy is carving a niche through operational efficiency and cost management. Its plan to reduce Permian Basin well costs by 20% positions it to profitably expand in one of the world’s most prolific shale basins.

Why CTRA?
- Execution Excellence: Consistently beats production guidance while keeping capital expenditures low.
- Valuation: At $25.35 per share, it’s undervalued relative to its $32.99 consensus price target.
- Dividend Stability: A 3.4% yield, supported by a track record of shareholder returns.

Why These Stocks? The Bigger Picture

The trio was selected based on four pillars:
1. Financial Stability: All three boast strong balance sheets and free cash flow generation.
2. Operational Efficiency: Each company prioritizes cost control and asset optimization.
3. Growth Potential: COP’s scale, EOG’s shale expertise, and CTRA’s cost discipline fuel future upside.
4. Analyst Sentiment: Consensus targets and upgrades highlight Wall Street’s confidence.

The energy sector’s transformation—driven by renewables integration, AI-driven grid management, and battery storage advancements—also benefits these firms. Their ability to balance traditional energy dominance with sustainability initiatives (e.g., COP’s net-zero goals) adds long-term credibility.

Conclusion: A Portfolio of Prudent Bets

These three stocks offer a compelling mix of income and capital appreciation in a sector ripe for consolidation.

  • COP’s $133.82 consensus target implies a 31% upside, supported by its scale and shareholder returns.
  • EOG’s $145.17 target suggests a 14% gain, backed by its shale dominance and financial health.
  • CTRA’s valuation leaves room for a 30% rise, driven by cost savings and Permian growth.

With global energy demand projected to grow by 8% by 2030 (IEA), these companies are positioned to capitalize on both near-term opportunities and long-term trends. For investors seeking stability and growth, these three are no-brainers for 2025 and beyond.

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