The Number in the Statement
For decades the working rule for retirement money has been the 4% rule: take out 4% of the balance in your first year, adjust it for inflation after that, and the pot is built to last roughly 30 years. On $900,000 that means $36,000 a year of dependable income. That is the income the account is meant to hand me. Morningstar's research for 2026 sets the safe ceiling a little lower. Its safe starting withdrawal rate of 3.9% assumes a 30-year horizon, a 90% chance of money still being there at the end, and no Social Security or pension counted in. On the same $900,000 that comes to about $35,100 a year.
Removing $150k (one-sixth) of principal cuts her sustainable withdrawal income by about $6,000/yr at a 4% rate and $5,850/yr at Morningstar's 3.9% rate.
| Principal | 4% safe withdrawal rate (USD) | 3.9% safe withdrawal rate (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| 900000 | 36000 | 35100 |
| 750000 | 30000 | 29250 |



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