Is the 10% EBITDA Margin Target Finally Within Reach for Chewy?

Wednesday, Feb 25, 2026 1:32 pm ET2min read
CHWY--
Aime RobotAime Summary

- ChewyCHWY-- reported 30% YoY adjusted EBITDA growth to $180.9M in Q3 2025, with margin expansion to 5.8%, nearing its 10% long-term target.

- Margin gains stemmed from 50-basis-point gross margin improvement and 20-basis-point SG&A leverage, driven by automation and cost discipline.

- Competitors PetcoWOOF-- posted $98.6M adjusted EBITDA despite revenue decline, while BARKBARK-- reported a $1.6M loss amid 22% revenue drop.

- Chewy's stock trades at 30.5x forward P/E vs. industry 21.6x, with Zacks forecasting 23% YoY earnings growth for fiscal 2025-2026.

Chewy, Inc. CHWY posted a steady year-over-year profitability improvement in the third quarter of 2025 and remains firmly on course to achieve its long-term target of a 10% adjusted EBITDA margin. Third-quarter performance built on the momentum from the first half of fiscal 2025 and highlighted the structural strength of Chewy’s business model. Initiatives like the expansion of ChewyCHWY-- Vet Care and the Chewy+ membership program are designed to deepen customer engagement and support long-term margin appreciation. The recent acquisition of SmartEquine is also expected to be accretive to margins upon closing.

Adjusted EBITDA increased 30% year over year to $180.9 million in the fiscal third quarter, with the adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 100 basis points to 5.8%. Management remains confident in Chewy’s ability to deliver consistent and sustainable EBITDA expansion in the years ahead. As of year-end, fewer than 450 basis points of improvement are remaining to reach this objective of 10% adjusted EBITDA margin target.

For fiscal 2025, management has narrowed its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 5.6%-5.7%, reflecting a year-over-year expansion of about 90 basis points. About 60% of this margin uplift is expected to stem from gross margin improvements, driven by high-margin contributors like sponsored ads, a shift toward premium categories, and the health ecosystem, with the remaining 40% coming from SG&A leverage. Gross margin increased by approximately 50 basis points year over year to 29.8% in the third quarter, supported by growth in sponsored advertising, a strong Autoship base and a favorable category mix. These improvements are expected to provide lasting structural margin benefits.

In addition, during the third quarter, Chewy generated 20 basis points of SG&A leverage year over year, excluding SBC and one-time items. This improvement reflects efficiencies from the scaling of the automated facility in Houston and the lapping of temporary costs tied to the Dallas FC and prior inventory pull-forward, signaling tighter cost discipline.

With accelerating margin expansion, improving cost discipline, and multiple structural profit drivers in place, Chewy appears increasingly well-positioned to steadily close the remaining gap and achieve its 10% adjusted EBITDA margin target.

Chewy Faces Competition From Petco & Bark

Petco Health & Wellness Company, Inc. WOOF posted a 3.1% year-over-year decline in net sales to $1.5 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, in line with the company’s outlook. Despite the revenue softness, adjusted EBITDA of Petco rose by $17.3 million to $98.6 million from $81.2 million, reflecting improved profitability, driven by effective cost management and operational execution in the quarter.

BARK, Inc.’s BARK reported total revenues of $98.4 million, which declined 22.1% year over year due to fewer total orders stemming from a lower level of subscriptions carried into the third quarter of fiscal 2026. BARK reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.6 million, within the company’s guidance of a loss of $1 million to $5 million.

Zacks Rundown for CHWY

CHWY shares have lost 25.6% in the last three months compared with the industry’s decline of 10.3%. Chewy carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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From a valuation standpoint, CHWYCHWY-- trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 30.5, higher than the industry’s average of 21.58.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings estimates for the current and next fiscal years indicates year-over-year growth of 23.1% and 22.7%, respectively.

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Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF): Free Stock Analysis Report

Chewy (CHWY): Free Stock Analysis Report

BARK, Inc. (BARK): Free Stock Analysis Report

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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