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1 Magnificent Oil Stock Down Nearly 30% to Buy and Hold Forever

Eli GrantThursday, Nov 21, 2024 10:26 am ET
4min read
Devon Energy (DVN) has been a standout performer in the oil and gas industry, but its recent stock price decline of nearly 30% presents an attractive entry point for long-term investors. Despite the drop, Devon Energy remains a compelling choice for those seeking a stable and growing income stream, as well as exposure to the energy sector's long-term growth prospects.

Devon Energy is a pure-play upstream oil and natural gas producer, with a focus on U.S. onshore assets. Its production is split evenly between oil and natural gas, providing exposure to both key global energy sources. With at least 10 years of drilling inventory and a low breakeven point of around $40 per barrel of oil, Devon has ample opportunity for growth.



The recent decline in Devon Energy's stock price can be attributed to a combination of factors, including the merger that increased its leverage and the subsequent debt reduction plan. The company targeted a $2.5 billion debt reduction, with $500 million paid down in the third quarter of 2024 alone. This debt reduction came at the expense of the dividend, which was cut to a base payment of $0.22 per share per quarter, a roughly 2.2% yield.

However, this reduction is temporary and shareholder-friendly, as it allows Devon to strengthen its balance sheet. Once debt reduction targets are met, Devon is likely to resume paying the variable dividend, potentially boosting income for patient investors. This balance between debt reduction and income maintenance makes Devon an attractive long-term hold for income investors.



Devon Energy's variable dividend policy is tied to its financial performance and corporate priorities. When energy prices are high and the company is generating strong earnings, it tends to augment its base dividend with a variable payment. Conversely, when energy prices are low or the company is focused on debt reduction, the variable dividend may be suspended or reduced. Given Devon's recent 30% stock price decline, which roughly tracks with West Texas Intermediate crude price declines, the company has settled its dividend at the base payment.

Despite the temporary dividend cut, Devon Energy remains an attractive investment due to its strong growth prospects, low breakeven point, and investment-grade rated balance sheet. Its exposure to both oil and natural gas provides a balanced approach to energy investing, while its focus on U.S. onshore assets capitalizes on the country's growing energy production.

In conclusion, Devon Energy's recent stock price decline presents an excellent opportunity for long-term investors seeking a stable income stream and exposure to the energy sector's growth prospects. Despite the temporary dividend cut, Devon's strong fundamentals and growth potential make it an attractive choice for those willing to tolerate higher risk in exchange for potentially higher returns. As the company completes its debt reduction plan and resumes paying the variable dividend, patient investors can expect to benefit from Devon Energy's long-term success.

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r2002
11/21
$DVN I mentioned earlier that today was a big day for oil and gas in the pre-market...and it's finally our turn! The good guys!
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sniper459
11/21
Got a chunk of $DVN in my portfolio. Strategy: Hold for growth, reinvest dividends. Long-term energy play feels right. Devon's got that oil and gas diversification nailed. Hoping for a rebound with crude prices too.
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falcongrinder
11/21
Devon's 30% dip feels like a bargain sale! Those debt reduction moves might sting short-term, but think about the balance sheet strength post-$2.5B cut. Gotta love a company keeping their options open for dividends later. Energy sector's growth prospects make this a tempting hold.
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Outrageous_Kale_3290
11/21
I'm holding $DVN long-term. Energy comeback might surprise, and that 10-year inventory has me bullish on this play.
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sniperadjust
11/21
Debt reduction will pay off eventually
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Mojojojo3030
11/21
Risk-reward game is strong with $DVN. Temporary dividend cut? Part of the hustle. Once debt's sorted, watch out for those variable payouts. Strong fundamentals and U.S. onshore focus = promising long game. 🚀
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Regime_Change
11/21
Balanced energy play with oil & natgas
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User avatar and name identifying the post author
11/21
Cutting the dividend temporarily isn't perfect, but debt reduction's necessary. Once targets hit, could see a payout boost. I’m thinking $DVN is a solid addition to my energy mix. Balance sheets matter, folks.
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WellWe11Well
11/21
Variable dividend = risky, but rewarding if patient.
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BeeBaBoop
11/21
Big move cutting dividends, but that breakeven of $40 is 💪. Debt paydown smart, yields temporary pain for future gains.
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superbilliam
11/21
$DWN's onshore play is solid, IMO. 🤑
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_Ukey_
11/21
$DVN might seem sketchy with the stock drop, but the focus on U.S. assets is a safe bet. Plus, that breakeven at $40/barrel is tight. Energy's gonna bounce back, and Devon's got legs for the long haul.
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User avatar and name identifying the post author
11/21
Devon's got the goods: drilling inventory and a strong balance sheet. Energy comeback might boost this more than people think.
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Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.
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