The backtest results for MTB following earnings beats show a mixed performance with a 57.14% win rate at 3 and 30 days but a low 28.57% win rate at 10 days. Returns are modestly positive in the short term (0.17% at 3 days) but turn negative over 10 and 30 days (-3.22% and -2.39%, respectively). This suggests that while immediate reactions to earnings beats can be slightly positive, the medium-term trend tends to be unfavorable.

The analysis indicates that investors should be cautious about holding MTB stock beyond the short term after an earnings beat.

Investment insight points to potential short-term trading opportunities rather than long-term positions post-earnings beat for MTB.

backtest_data

The backtest results show that MTB's stock tends to have a negative average return following earnings misses, with a 3-day return of -1.07% and a 10-day return of -1.09%. Despite a relatively high 10-day win rate of 71.43%, the overall 30-day return remains negative at -0.63%, indicating limited recovery. This suggests that earnings misses generally exert downward pressure on MTB's stock price in the short to medium term.

The analysis implies that while short-term rebounds occur, the predominant trend is negative post-earnings miss.

Investors should be cautious and consider potential short-term declines when MTB reports earnings below expectations.

The backtest results show that the Banks Industry experienced a slight negative impact following earnings beats, with a maximum return of only 0.70% occurring 27 days after the event. This indicates that despite positive earnings surprises, the sector did not generate significant positive returns in the observed period. The analysis suggests that earnings beats in the Banks Industry may not reliably translate into strong price appreciation. Investors should be cautious and consider that positive earnings surprises in this sector might not lead to substantial gains.

The backtest results show that when the Banks Industry misses earnings expectations, the sector experiences a negative impact with a maximum return decline of 0.57% on the event day. This indicates a consistent adverse market reaction to earnings misses within this industry over the tested period.

The analysis suggests that the Banks Industry is sensitive to earnings disappointments, reflecting investor concerns about profitability and future prospects when expectations are not met.

Investors should be cautious with Banks Industry stocks following earnings misses, as these events tend to trigger immediate negative price movements.

Backtest MTB Earning Beats Expectations

Find all upcoming company earnings reports scheduled for jan 16 2026. Get details on which companies are reporting and their expected results.

Calendar