The backtest results show that HD has a 60% win rate over 3 days and 70% over 10 days following earnings beats, with modest average returns of 0.46% and 1.00% respectively. However, the 30-day win rate drops to 40%, with a small average return of 0.45%. This suggests that HD tends to perform positively in the short to medium term after earnings beats but lacks sustained momentum over a longer horizon. Investors might consider short-term positions post-earnings beat to capitalize on the initial positive price reaction.

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The backtest results show that HD has a low 3-day win rate of 25% following earnings misses, with modest recovery by 10 and 30 days at 50%. The short-term return is slightly negative at -0.22%, while longer-term returns remain near flat, indicating limited immediate downside but weak positive momentum thereafter. This suggests that earnings misses for HD do not consistently lead to strong negative or positive price movements in the medium term. Investors should be cautious about expecting significant rebounds or declines solely based on earnings misses for HD.

The backtest results show that the Specialty Retail Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beats, with a maximum return of only 1.29% observed 14 days after the event. This indicates that earnings beats in this sector do not translate into meaningful price movements or investor gains over the tested period.

The lack of notable response suggests that other factors may drive stock performance in Specialty Retail, diminishing the predictive value of earnings surprises alone.

Investors should be cautious about relying solely on earnings beats as a signal for trading opportunities within the Specialty Retail Industry.

The backtest results show that earnings misses in the Specialty Retail Industry have no significant impact on the industry's stock returns, with a maximum return of -0.11% observed over the period from 2023 to 2026. This negligible effect suggests that the market does not react strongly to earnings misses within this sector. Consequently, investors might consider that earnings misses in Specialty Retail do not provide actionable signals for trading or portfolio adjustments.

Backtest HD Release Earning Report

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