The backtest results show that APO has a 62.5% win rate at both 3 and 30 days post-earnings beat, but a lower 37.5% win rate at 10 days. The average returns are modestly positive at 0.46% over 3 days but turn negative over 10 and 30 days, with -2.39% and -0.28% respectively. This suggests a short-term positive reaction that fades quickly and does not sustain over the medium term. Investors might consider short-term trades following APO earnings beats rather than holding for longer periods due to the diminishing returns.

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The backtest results show that APO experienced a 66.67% win rate consistently over 3, 10, and 30 days following earnings misses, with short-term returns negative at -0.72% and -1.52% for 3 and 10 days respectively, but a positive 4.76% return over 30 days. This indicates a delayed positive price reaction despite initial declines. The maximum return of 5.89% occurred around day 58, suggesting a longer-term recovery. Investors might consider holding APO beyond the short term after earnings misses to capture potential rebound gains.

The backtest results show that the Capital Markets Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beat expectations, with a maximum return of only 0.56% on the event day. This suggests that earnings beats in this industry do not translate into meaningful short-term price movements. Consequently, investors should be cautious about expecting immediate gains from earnings surprises in the Capital Markets sector and may need to consider other factors or longer-term strategies when making investment decisions.

The backtest results show that the Capital Markets Industry tends to have a positive response following earnings misses, with a maximum return of 3.39% observed on day 57. This indicates that despite initial negative sentiment, the industry can recover and generate gains over the medium term. The analysis suggests that investors might consider holding positions in this sector after earnings disappointments to capture potential rebounds. This insight highlights the resilience of the Capital Markets Industry and the opportunity to benefit from delayed positive market reactions post-earnings misses.

Backtest APO Release Earning Report

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