The backtest results for APO following earnings beats show a 62.5% win rate at both 3 and 30 days, but a lower 37.5% win rate at 10 days. The average returns are modestly positive at 0.46% over 3 days but turn negative over 10 and 30 days, with -2.39% and -0.28% respectively. This suggests a short-term positive reaction that fades quickly and does not sustain over the medium term.

The pattern indicates that while APO may gain initially after earnings beats, the momentum often reverses within weeks.

Investors might consider short-term trades post-earnings beat rather than holding APO for longer periods.

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The backtest results show that APO experienced a 66.67% win rate consistently across 3-day, 10-day, and 30-day periods following earnings misses. Despite short-term negative returns of -0.72% and -1.52% over 3 and 10 days respectively, the 30-day return turned positive at 4.76%, with a maximum return of 5.89% occurring on day 58. This indicates a delayed positive price adjustment after initial declines.

The analysis suggests that while APO initially reacts negatively to earnings misses, the stock tends to recover and generate gains over the longer term.

Investors might consider holding APO beyond the short-term post-earnings miss period to capture potential rebound gains.

The backtest results show that the Capital Markets Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beat expectations, with a maximum return of only 0.56% on the event day. This suggests that earnings beats in this industry do not translate into meaningful short-term price movements. Consequently, investors should be cautious about expecting immediate gains from earnings beats in the Capital Markets sector and may need to consider other factors or longer-term strategies when making investment decisions.

The backtest results show that when the Capital Markets Industry misses earnings expectations, the industry experiences a positive impact with a maximum return of 3.51% occurring 57 days after the event. This suggests that despite initial negative sentiment, the industry tends to recover and generate gains over the medium term. Investors might consider this pattern as an opportunity to enter or hold positions in the Capital Markets Industry following earnings misses, anticipating a rebound in performance within approximately two months.

Backtest APO Earnings Beat and Miss Expectations

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