Zerobase (ZBT) Price Prediction and Sudden Surge: A Deep Dive into Market Sentiment, On-Chain Activity, and Speculative Momentum

The cryptocurrency market has long been a theater of volatility, where sudden price surges and sharp corrections often defy traditional analysis. Zerobase (ZBT), a token that has recently captured attention, exemplifies this dynamic. Between March and December 2025, ZBT experienced a dramatic 55% price surge in just five hours on March 21, 2025, followed by an 80.58% rally in a single 24-hour period in December 2025. This article dissects the interplay of market sentiment, on-chain activity, and speculative momentum to assess ZBT's short-term trajectory and potential risks.

Market Sentiment: Short Squeezes, Listings, and Airdrops Fuel Volatility

ZBT's March 2025 surge was primarily driven by a short squeeze triggered by leveraged traders. As the price rose sharply, forced buying by short-position holders created a self-reinforcing upward spiral, resulting in $1.2 million in liquidations within hours. This event coincided with ZBT's recent airdrop and listings on major exchanges like Binance and Upbit, which amplified its visibility and liquidity.

However, the token's path to this surge was not smooth. In the preceding weeks, ZBT faced bearish conditions, dropping 8.84% to $0.1227 amid a declining fear and greed index and reduced large fund inflows. Compounding these challenges, a phishing attack in October 2025 led to a $250K loss, eroding investor confidence. These contrasting dynamics-optimism from airdrops and listings versus skepticism from security lapses-highlight the fragile balance of market sentiment around ZBT.

On-chain Activity: Volume Spikes and Ticket Pricing Drive Demand

On-chain data reveals a surge in speculative activity. In December 2025, ZBT's price jumped 80.58% in 24 hours, outpacing broader crypto markets. This was fueled by Phase II of its ticket pricing, which began on December 25, 2025. The phase increased ticket prices, signaling the protocol's maturation and boosting demand for ZBT as users purchased tickets using the token.

Earlier in October 2025, ZBT's airdrop to over 150,000 wallets further decentralized its distribution, while listings on Binance and Upbit enhanced its accessibility according to market analysis. These on-chain developments suggest a growing user base and heightened transactional activity, though macroeconomic headwinds and market volatility remain persistent challenges as reported in recent updates.

Speculative Momentum: Technical Indicators and Leverage Amplify Trends

Technical indicators underscore ZBT's speculative momentum. A bullish MACD crossover and rising RSI in December 2025 signaled strong short-term buying pressure. Meanwhile, the March 2025 surge was exacerbated by leveraged positions, as traders with short bets were forced to cover losses, creating a feedback loop of rising prices and increased volume.

The role of trading volume is critical. On Upbit, ZBT briefly reached 270 KRW during its March surge, with volume spiking as traders scrambled to reposition. Such spikes often precede corrections, as speculative fervor can quickly reverse when leverage unwinds or sentiment shifts.

Price Prediction and Risks: Balancing Optimism and Caution

While ZBT's recent performance suggests short-term bullish momentum, investors must weigh several risks. The token's reliance on speculative trading-evidenced by the short squeeze and leveraged positions-makes it vulnerable to rapid reversals. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as broader crypto market downturns or regulatory scrutiny, could dampen its trajectory.

However, the airdrop, exchange listings, and Phase II ticket pricing indicate a strategic effort to build long-term utility. If ZBT can maintain its on-chain activity and address security concerns, it may consolidate gains. A conservative price target for Q1 2026 could range between $0.15 and $0.20, factoring in both technical momentum and market risks.

Conclusion

Zerobase (ZBT) has become a case study in the interplay of market sentiment, on-chain activity, and speculative momentum. Its sudden surges, driven by short squeezes, airdrops, and strategic listings, highlight the token's potential but also its inherent volatility. While technical indicators and on-chain demand suggest a bullish near-term outlook, investors must remain vigilant against macroeconomic headwinds and security vulnerabilities. As the crypto market evolves, ZBT's ability to balance speculation with sustainable utility will determine its long-term success.