Dinámica de precios de Zcash (ZEC): ¿Es esta una oportunidad estratégica de acumulación en medio de una alza del 700%?

Zcash (ZEC) has surged over 700% in recent months, sparking debates about whether this rally reflects genuine on-chain strength or speculative fervor. With privacy-focused cryptocurrencies gaining traction amid macroeconomic uncertainty, ZEC's unique value proposition-shielded transactions and institutional adoption-has drawn renewed attention. This analysis examines ZEC's price dynamics through on-chain behavior and pattern analysis, assessing whether the current rally presents a strategic accumulation opportunity.

On-Chain Activity: A Surge in Utility and Network Strength

Zcash's on-chain metrics reveal a dramatic uptick in network activity. According to data from Gate.tv, ZEC's active address count has surged 150% year-to-date, reaching levels not seen since 2018. This growth coincides with a 919% price rally over 60 days, suggesting a correlation between utility and valuation. Mining difficulty and node count have also hit all-time highs, signaling enhanced security and decentralization. Such fundamentals indicate a maturing network, where increased transaction volume (up 150% in 2025) reflects growing adoption rather than mere speculation.

The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio-a metric comparing market cap to daily transaction value-has declined sharply despite ZEC's price surge. This divergence suggests improved efficiency, as higher transaction values are being generated without proportionally increasing the network's value multiple. A lower NVT ratio often signals undervaluation relative to usage, historically preceding bullish phases in other cryptocurrencies.

Accumulation Patterns: Whales and Institutions in Play

On-chain data highlights strategic accumulation by large holders. A prominent whale wallet increased its ZEC position significantly in late 2025, later transferring tokens to Hyperliquid to establish a long exposure. This behavior, coupled with Cypherpunk Technologies' expanded holdings, underscores institutional confidence in ZEC's privacy-centric use case. Zcash founder Zooko Wilcox's appointment as an advisor further validates this trend, signaling alignment between protocol development and market sentiment.

Retail support is also evident. The Mean Value to Realized Value (MVRV) metric shows ZEC's price has remained resilient despite whale offloading activity, indicating strong retail participation. This dynamic suggests a balanced market, where retail buyers are stepping in to absorb supply, reducing downward pressure on the price.

Privacy Adoption and Shielded Transactions

Zcash's core innovation-shielded transactions-has seen a notable uptick. Shielded ZEC (zEC) now accounts for 29.5% of the total supply, or 4.81 million coins. While this growth highlights ZEC's appeal for privacy, it also introduces analytical challenges. Traditional on-chain metrics struggle to track shielded activity, making it difficult to assess real user growth comprehensively. However, the increasing preference for shielded transactions suggests a shift toward ZEC as a "digital bearer asset," akin to gold but with programmable properties.

Risk Factors: Overbought Conditions and Opaque Metrics

Despite bullish signals, risks persist. ZEC's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered overbought territory at 84, indicating potential exhaustion in the rally. A pullback could test critical support levels, particularly if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate. Additionally, the opacity of shielded pools complicates assessments of genuine demand versus wash trading.

Strategic Accumulation: A Calculated Opportunity?

ZEC's on-chain dynamics present a nuanced picture. The combination of rising transaction volumes, institutional accumulation, and privacy-driven adoption supports a case for strategic entry. However, investors must weigh these positives against overbought conditions and the inherent risks of a privacy-focused asset class. For those aligned with ZEC's long-term vision-where privacy becomes a premium feature-current levels may represent an attractive entry point, provided they employ strict risk management.