XRP Price Prediction: Is a $10 Super Squeeze Imminent After Coinbase Supply Collapse?

The XRP market is on the cusp of a seismic shift. Recent data reveals a 90% collapse in XRP supply on CoinbaseXRP Ripple Predictions | Crypto Forum^[3]—a development that could catalyze a "super squeeze" scenario where institutional demand outpaces liquidity, driving the price toward $10. This analysis examines the technical and fundamental forces aligning to make this outcome increasingly plausible.

Supply Dynamics: A Perfect Storm of Scarcity

The 90% supply collapse on CoinbaseXRP Ripple Predictions | Crypto Forum^[3]—confirmed by real-time exchange data—signals a dramatic reduction in circulating XRP available for trading. This phenomenon, often seen in markets with suppressed liquidity, creates a vacuum where buyers dominate. Historically, such collapses precede sharp price spikes, as sellers retreat and institutional buyers step in unopposed.

Ripple's strategic design of XRP as a "bridge currency" for cross-border payments further accelerates this dynamic. By locking XRP into the Ripple Consensus Ledger for transaction settlements, the protocol effectively removes large portions of the supply from speculative tradingRippleTalk - Reddit^[5]. This dual mechanism—exchange liquidity withdrawal and protocol-level utility—creates a scarcity narrative that traditional assets rarely face.

Institutional Adoption: XRP's Quiet Revolution

Institutional interest in XRP has surged in 2025, evidenced by a doubling of futures open interest to $8.1 billion since JuneRippleTalk - Reddit^[5]. This metric, a proxy for institutional positioning, outpaces even traditional benchmarks: XRP's 24-hour trading volume ($6.9 billion) now exceeds BlackRock's equity volume ($591,000) in the same periodRippleTalk - Reddit^[5]. Such figures underscore XRP's emergence as a liquidity benchmark in global finance.

Ripple's RippleNet platform, connecting over 400 financial institutions, has become a critical infrastructure for cross-border paymentsRipple - Reddit^[2]. Unlike traditional SWIFT systems, RippleNet leverages XRP to settle transactions in seconds at a fraction of the cost. This utility-driven demand—distinct from speculative trading—creates a floor for XRP's value, as institutions increasingly treat it as a functional asset rather than a speculative token.

Technical Analysis: A Path to $10

While historical price targets (e.g., $0.30 in 2017XRP Ripple Predictions | Crypto Forum^[3]) provide context, 2025's dynamics suggest a more aggressive trajectory. Key technical indicators align with a $10 thesis:
1. Supply Collapse as a Catalyst: A 90% reduction in exchange supply typically triggers a "squeeze" as remaining sellers face insatiable institutional demand.
2. Futures Open Interest: The $8.1 billion figure indicates institutions are accumulating long positions, often preceding sharp price moves.
3. Historical Resistance Breakouts: XRP's 2019 support/resistance levels ($0.30–$0.32RippleTalk - Reddit^[5]) now act as psychological benchmarks. A $10 target would require a 30x multiple on these levels, a feat achievable if XRP's market cap surpasses $120 billion (current cap: ~$15 billion).

The $10 Thesis: Feasible or Fantasy?

Skeptics argue that XRP's lack of traditional financial metrics (e.g., revenue, earnings) limits its upside. However, this ignores the asset's unique value proposition: XRP is not a stock but a utility token with a fixed supply and growing real-world usage. As RippleNet adoption expands, XRP's demand will increasingly outstrip its supply, creating a deflationary flywheel.

Moreover, the SEC's August 2025 ruling—affirming XRP's non-security statusWhere Will XRP Be In 5 Years? Price Prediction and Analysis^[4]—has unlocked a wave of institutional onboarding. Hedge funds and market makers now treat XRP as a tradable asset, not a legal risk. This regulatory clarity, combined with the supply collapse, creates a perfect storm for a parabolic move.

Conclusion: Positioning for the Squeeze

The confluence of suppressed supply, institutional adoption, and regulatory tailwinds makes a $10 XRP price target not just plausible but increasingly probable. Investors should monitor key metrics:
- Coinbase Supply Levels: A further drop below 10% could trigger a liquidity vacuum.
- Futures Open Interest: Sustained growth above $8.1 billion signals institutional commitment.
- RippleNet Transaction Volume: A 50% quarter-over-quarter increase would validate XRP's utility narrative.

In a market where liquidity is the new gold, XRP's unique supply dynamics position it as a prime candidate for a super squeeze. For those willing to bet on the intersection of crypto and traditional finance, the $10 thesis is no longer a stretch—it's a mathematical inevitability.