XRP News Today: XRP Market Splits as ETF Momentum Clashes with Death Cross Bearish Signals

The XRP market is navigating a pivotal juncture as conflicting signals emerge from technical analyses and institutional developments. While some experts warn of a potential 55% price slump to $1, others argue the recent death cross formation is not a bear market trigger. Meanwhile, the launch of multiple spot XRP ETFs has added a layer of regulatory and institutional momentum, though early market reactions have been mixed.

XRP's price dropped below $2.20 on November 19, 2025, triggering a death cross pattern where the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed below the 200-day EMA-a traditionally bearish signal. Analysts like Financemagnates predict a sharp decline to $1.25, citing the broader market's fragility after Bitcoin's drop below $90,000 and the Federal Reserve's rate cut. However, EGRAG Crypto, a prominent XRP analyst, counters that the death cross lacks validity in this context. He emphasizes that XRP remains above the rising 200-day EMA and that the pattern resembles 2017 and 2021 bull cycles rather than the 2018 crash.

The ETF landscape has intensified these debates. Bitwise and 21Shares launched spot XRP ETFs on November 20, joining a growing list of providers including Grayscale and Franklin Templeton. These products, offering regulated exposure to XRP, are seen as a catalyst for institutional adoption. Bitwise's ETF debuted with $22 million in trading volume, despite XRP's 7% drop to $1.98 on the same day. The price decline, however, was attributed to broader market pressures, including Bitcoin's sell-off and large-holder sales of 200 million XRP.

Grayscale's XRP ETF, set to convert from a trust to an ETF on November 25, has already attracted $12.3 million in assets under management. Analysts note that the ETF approvals signal regulatory clarity, potentially drawing institutional capital to XRP. Yet, the immediate market impact remains limited, with on-chain data showing 41.5% of XRP supply currently in a loss position-a sign of structural fragility.

The technical debate hinges on historical parallels. EGRAG highlights that the 2017 and 2021 patterns saw XRP break out to all-time highs after similar EMA crossovers, contrasting with the 2018 crash that followed a price decline. Meanwhile, critics argue the current death cross, coupled with Bitcoin's dominance near 60%, indicates a broader altcoin slump.

Institutional confidence persists despite short-term volatility. Franklin Templeton and Grayscale's ETF approvals were hailed as milestones, with Amonyx, a crypto commentator, declaring XRP in "volcanic mode". However, the path to sustained price recovery depends on ETF inflows and macroeconomic factors. While early ETF demand is strong, analysts caution that meaningful institutional adoption may take until 2026.