XRP news today: XRP Faces 90% Rejection Risk at 5,200 Satoshis in June 2025

XRP, the cryptocurrency associated with Ripple, has been the subject of a recent analysis that utilizes the Ichimoku Cloud indicator on the XRP/BTC trading pair. This analysis suggests two potential price trajectories for XRP, depending on its interaction with key resistance levels in the coming months.

On the 3-month XRP/BTC chart, a significant resistance zone has been identified. The Kijun Sen line, which represents a key equilibrium point in the Ichimoku system, is currently acting as a resistance barrier. Additionally, a pronounced bearish TK gap, defined by the vertical distance between the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen lines, suggests prevailing downward momentum. The Chikou Span, which lags 26 periods behind the current price, is positioned below previous candle bodies, indicating that historical price levels are also exerting downward pressure.

Dr. Cat, the analyst, estimates a 90% probability that XRP will face rejection if it attempts to rally toward 0.00005147 BTC (approximately 5,200 satoshis) in the second quarter of 2025, particularly in June. Overcoming this resistance may require several quarters of consolidation, potentially extending over a year.

The 1-month XRP/BTC chart presents a similarly challenging resistance zone, with XRP attempting to move into a dense Kumo, or cloud, which serves as a barrier to price and momentum. Currently, XRP is situated within this cloud, lacking clear signs of a breakout. Notably, the upper boundary of this monthly Kumo aligns with the Kijun Sen from the 3-month chart, reinforcing the strength of this resistance area.

Despite these challenges, the monthly chart offers some optimism. The forward-looking section of the Kumo is thinning toward the end of 2025, suggesting that XRP may find it easier to break through resistance in the fourth quarter. If XRP fails to make a decisive move in the near term, it may enter a period of extended consolidation. Such consolidation could allow the TK gap to close, with the Tenkan Sen gradually rising and the Kijun Sen flattening or declining. This scenario would also enable the Chikou Span to move away from historical resistance levels, creating a more favorable structure for a potential breakout.

Dr. Cat outlines two primary scenarios for XRP’s price trajectory. In the short term, if XRP attempts a breakout in the near term, particularly in May or June, it may encounter resistance around 5,200 satoshis (0.000052 BTC), leading to a potential local top between $4.50 and $6. In the long term, should XRP consolidate through the remainder of 2025 and break out in the fourth quarter, it could surge to 12,000 satoshis (0.00012 BTC). Assuming Bitcoin reaches $250,000 during this period, this would correspond to an XRP price of $30. If Bitcoin’s price is $100,000, XRP could reach $12.

These projections underscore the significance of XRP’s performance relative to Bitcoin and the importance of monitoring key resistance levels identified by the Ichimoku Cloud analysis. As of the latest data, XRP is trading at approximately $2.09, with Bitcoin priced around $94,462. The analysis highlights the potential for XRP to hit $30, but this is contingent on several factors, including Bitcoin's performance and XRP's ability to overcome key resistance levels.