XRP News Today: XRP ETFs Signal Institutional Adoption-But Can Price Overcome Market Headwinds?

The first U.S. spot XRP exchange-traded fund (XRPC) launched with a record-breaking $58.5 million in trading volume, outpacing Solana's ETF debut and signaling growing institutional adoption of Ripple's token. However, the price of XRP has since traded sideways near $2.25, defying expectations of an immediate parabolic surge. Analysts attribute this disconnect to a combination of market-wide "risk-off" sentiment and structural delays inherent in ETF settlement processes.

A new price model from crypto analyst Diana has gained traction, projecting XRP could surge to $7–$24 within 60 days of ETF launches. The model hinges on supply-absorption dynamics: with only 2.8 billion XRP available on exchanges and 5–20 ETFs seeded with $10M–$45M each, institutional demand could create a liquidity shock. This would push the price to $4.50–$15 in 30 days and projected to reach $7–$24 in 60 days. Diana emphasizes that ETF inflows typically lag price reactions due to compliance and settlement cycles, citing Bitcoin's 2024 ETF rollout as a precedent - where initial price weakness gave way to a later rally.

The XRPC ETF's muted price impact also reflects broader crypto market turbulence. Bitcoin's decline to near $95,000 and a $1 trillion industry-wide valuation drop have amplified selling pressure. Meanwhile, whale activity has exacerbated XRP's struggles: over 200 million tokens were sold within 48 hours of the ETF launch, offsetting institutional buying. "XRP's real test is at the $1.98 support level," said one analyst, noting the token's "structurally fragile" positioning, with 41.5% of its supply currently at a loss.

Upcoming ETFs could yet reshape this narrative. Franklin Templeton, with its $1.6 trillion in assets under management, is set to launch an XRP ETF (ticker XRPZ) on November 18, joining Bitwise, 21Shares, and others. These launches are expected to deepen liquidity and institutional credibility for XRP, a token already used by 300+ financial institutions for cross-border payments.

Technical indicators suggest a potential near-term rebound. A break above $2.69–$2.84 would confirm an uptrend, while a dip toward $1.98 could test short-term resilience. Long-term optimists point to ETF-driven demand absorption: if inflows persist, repeated XRP purchases by issuers could tighten the available float, forcing a reprice.

The next 60 days will be critical. As Diana notes, "ETF-driven dynamics could spark one of the most significant price movements in XRP's history" - but only if market conditions stabilize and institutional allocations materialize. According to Diana's model, this could be a pivotal period for XRP's trajectory.