XRP News Today: Institutions and Stacked EMAs Signal XRP's $3.10 Breakout

XRP's price structure remains intact as key technical indicators and institutional developments suggest a potential breakout. Analysts highlight a long-term ascending triangle pattern forming over 362 days, with price consolidating above critical exponential moving averages (EMAs). The 20-week EMA at $2.78 continues to act as a reliable support, while the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs are stacked in ascending order at $2.33, $1.79, and $1.29, reinforcing the bullish trend. This layered EMA structure indicates resilience despite short-term volatility, with traders accumulating during dips to build a higher-low pattern on the weekly chart.

Momentum indicators signal a neutral-to-bullish shift. The RSI at 54 sits in neutral territory, suggesting the market is in a consolidation phase, while the MACD shows a narrowing bearish gap, hinting at waning selling pressure. A bullish crossover in the MACD could flip sentiment quickly, potentially triggering a move above $3.00–$3.10, a zone analysts identify as the critical breakout trigger. Institutional interest is also rising, with Japan's SBI announcing an XRP lending program that spurred a 24-hour token volume spike to 164.5 million tokens, doubling average levels. This liquidity surge, combined with growing adoption of Ripple's On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) service, underscores XRP's real-world utility.

Regulatory developments could further catalyze price action. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to rule on six XRP ETF applications between October 18 and October 25, 2025. Approval could inject $5–$18 billion in institutional inflows, potentially pushing XRP beyond key resistance levels. Analysts note that a clean breakout above $3.00 would convert resistance into support, opening the door to $3.30–$3.70 if momentum persists. Additionally, Ripple's legal victory over the SEC has clarified XRP's regulatory status, bolstering investor confidence among institutional and retail traders.

Volume and on-chain metrics reinforce the bullish case. XRP's Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio has dropped to 108.56, indicating undervaluation relative to network activity. A lower NVT historically correlates with price appreciation, suggesting the token is undervalued despite growing transaction volumes. Whale activity also points to accumulation, with 340 million XRP inflows recorded recently. These factors, combined with a falling wedge pattern between $2.60–$2.70, suggest a fast move through the $2.51–$2.73 gap zone could fuel momentum.

However, risks remain. A failure to hold the $2.70 support could drag XRP toward $2.33 or $1.79, undermining the bullish setup. The broader crypto market's performance will also play a role; Bitcoin and Ethereum's strength or weakness could influence XRP's liquidity and volatility. Additionally, high interest rates and regulatory uncertainty in non-U.S. markets could temper adoption and price gains. Despite these risks, the technical and fundamental alignment-strong EMAs, institutional inflows, and regulatory clarity-positions XRP for a potential breakout in late 2025.

---

Source: [1] Blocknews (https://blocknews.com/will-xrp-explode-in-2025-chart-pattern-hints-at-major-upside-ahead/)

[2] AnalyticsInsight (https://www.analyticsinsight.net/cryptocurrency-analytics-insight/will-xrp-hit-10-in-october-2025-here-is-the-real-story)

[3] Coingape (https://coingape.com/markets/how-could-xrp-price-react-after-october-2025-sec-etf-decisions/)

[4] Coinotag (https://en.coinotag.com/xrp-could-test-3-00-3-15-after-holding-2-70-support-as-institutional-interest-rises/)

[5] CoinEdition (https://cryptorank.io/news/feed/8cac1-xrp-price-levels-to-watch-today-2-70-support-3-resistance-momentum-next)

[6] CCN (https://www.ccn.com/analysis/crypto/xrp-october-price-analysis-2025/)