Deterioro técnico crítico de XRP: una profundización en la trayectoria descendente y en los niveles de soporte clave

In late 2025, XRP is navigating a precarious technical landscape, marked by a sustained downward trend and a series of critical support levels under pressure. The cryptocurrency has slipped below key thresholds, including the $1.95 level, raising concerns about a potential collapse toward $0.90. This breakdown has shifted market structure to a short-term bearish outlook, with technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reinforcing the bearish momentum. For investors, understanding this technical breakdown-and implementing robust risk management strategies-is critical to surviving the volatility.

The Technical Breakdown: A Bearish Structural Shift

XRP's price action has formed a descending triangle pattern, with the $1.90 level emerging as a pivotal support zone. This pattern, often a precursor to a decisive breakout, suggests further downside if the support fails. The 50-day moving average (currently at $2.1) has fallen below the 200-day moving average ($2.6), a bearish "death cross" that signals ongoing weakness.

The drop below the $1.93 Fibonacci level in late November 2025 marked a critical turning point, confirming short-term bearish control. This breakdown was accompanied by a surge in trading volume, indicating active distribution rather than a passive decline. Analysts now warn that a sustained close below $1.60 could trigger deeper corrections, as historical trends suggest further bearish momentum once this level is breached.

While the RSI has entered oversold territory, some analysts remain cautiously optimistic, citing bullish divergence and ETF inflows as potential signs of accumulation. However, these signals are not enough to counter the broader bearish structure. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $2.10 and the 0.5 Fibonacci support at $2.04 remain key decision points, with buyers stepping in only if XRP retests these levels.

Risk Management Strategies for XRP Investors

Given the fragile technical setup, investors must adopt disciplined risk management strategies to mitigate potential losses.

1. Stop-Loss Orders and Position Sizing
   Traders are advised to set stop-loss orders below the $1.93 Fibonacci level to limit downside risk. For those holding XRP, dollar-cost averaging (DCA)-investing fixed amounts regularly regardless of price-can reduce emotional decision-making and smooth out the average cost basis over time according to financial experts. This approach is particularly valuable in volatile markets, where panic selling at inopportune moments can exacerbate losses.

2. Hedging and Profit-Taking Opportunities
   If XRP stabilizes near the $1.90–$1.93 support zone, short-term traders might consider hedging by taking partial profits in the $2.50–$2.68 range, which represents a 30.9–40.3% increase from current levels according to technical analysis. However, this strategy hinges on XRP remaining above $1.60. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish case, necessitating tighter stop-losses or even exiting positions.

3. Monitoring Key Technical Levels
   Investors should closely watch the 20-month exponential moving average (EMA), which has historically acted as a critical support during bullish cycles. A monthly close above this level could signal fading selling pressure, while a sustained break below it would reinforce bearish momentum. Additionally, XRP's ability to close above $2.05 and follow through to the 100-day EMA near $2.35 would be a positive sign for stabilizing the price according to technical analysts.

The Bigger Picture: XRP in a Broader Bearish Market

XRP's performance is also influenced by broader market dynamics, particularly Bitcoin's price action. Altcoins like XRP often follow Bitcoin's lead, and a continued bearish trend in the leading cryptocurrency could amplify downward pressure on XRP. Investors must remain vigilant about macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate expectations and regulatory developments, which could further impact risk appetite in crypto markets.

Conclusion

XRP's technical breakdown in late 2025 underscores the importance of disciplined risk management in a short-term bearish environment. While the path forward remains uncertain, investors who prioritize stop-loss orders, position sizing, and strategic profit-taking can better navigate the volatility. As the market tests key support levels like $1.90 and $1.93, the coming weeks will be critical in determining whether XRP can stabilize or face further declines.