XBIL Hits a New 52-Week High Driven by Overbought RSI and Short-Term Momentum Amid $2.6M Net Outflow on December 26, 2025

ETF Overview and Capital Flows

XBIL.O, the F/m US Treasury 6 Month Bill ETF, is a passively managed bond fund focused on the most recently issued 6-month U.S. Treasury Bills. It caters to investors seeking direct exposure to the shortest end of the yield curve, offering a straightforward proxy for 6-month Treasury Bill performance.

Recent fund flow data shows a net outflow of $2.6 million on December 26, 2025, across all order sizes, though this does not necessarily signal a shift in demand for the fund’s core structure.

Technical Signals and Market Setup

XBIL.O’s relative strength indicator (RSI) entered overbought territory on December 29, 2025, according to available data. This suggests short-term momentum has pushed the ETF near its 52-week high, though overbought levels often precede price corrections. Investors should watch for a breakdown below key support or a divergence in the RSI to confirm potential exhaustion in the current rally.

Peer ETF Snapshot

• AGG.P charges 0.03% expense ratio with $135B in assets and a leverage ratio of 1.0.
• AAA.P has a higher 0.25% expense ratio, $42M AUM, and no leverage.
• BTOT.P offers a 0.09% expense ratio and $25M in assets, matching XBIL.O’s leverage.
• AFIX.P’s 0.19% expense ratio and $178M AUM contrast with XBIL.O’s 0.15% cost.

Opportunities and Structural Constraints

XBIL.O’s niche focus on 6-month T-Bills provides a unique tool for yield curve positioning, particularly in volatile rate environments. However, its overbought technical setup raises questions about near-term sustainability. While its expense ratio is competitive against peers like AGG.P, its limited AUM and specialized strategy may restrict broader adoption. Investors should balance its tactical utility with caution around extended overbought conditions.