Worldcoin (WLD) y la formación de un establecimiento alcista en 2026

Worldcoin (WLD) has emerged as one of the most intriguing narratives in the cryptocurrency market, driven by its unique biometric verification model and the potential for mass adoption. As we approach 2026, the token's price action and on-chain metrics suggest a compelling bullish setup, anchored by a well-defined falling wedge breakout, a consolidating bull flag pattern, and a critical $1.20+ resistance level. This analysis synthesizes technical, on-chain, and macroeconomic factors to argue that WLD could deliver outsized returns for investors willing to navigate its volatility.

Falling Wedge Breakout: A Classic Bullish Signal

WLD has been forming a falling wedge pattern on its 3-day chart since early 2024, characterized by lower highs and lower lows converging into a narrow range. This pattern, often associated with bullish reversals, has seen the price hover near a key support level of $0.90. At the time of writing, WLD trades at $0.975, slightly above this critical zone, where increased buying activity has been observed. The bearish momentum has waned, as evidenced by declining volume during the wedge's formation.

A clean break above the 50-day moving average could unlock a path toward $4.21, a major resistance level supported by volume profile data. Immediate resistance stands at $1.70, while the $0.90 support has held firm in recent sessions. Analysts from BraveNewCoin and Bitget highlight that a sustained move above the wedge's upper boundary could trigger a parabolic rally, with price targets extending to $2.50–$3.50 in a strong bull case.

Bull Flag Consolidation: A Prelude to a Breakout

The bull flag pattern, a continuation formation following a sharp price surge, is currently in play for WLD. After a rally from its 2024 lows, the token has entered a consolidation phase within a descending triangle, with the price confined between $0.90 (support) and $1.30 (resistance). This pattern suggests that bulls are accumulating during pullbacks, while bears remain cautious about testing higher levels.

Technical indicators like the RSI and MACD provide further context. The RSI has rebounded from oversold levels, indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure. Meanwhile, the MACD, though currently in mildly bearish territory, shows converging lines- a precursor to a bullish crossover if momentum shifts. Analysts at Binance and CoinCub note that a decisive breakout above $1.30 could validate the bull flag, with price targets extending to $1.88–$2.01.

Key Resistance Levels and On-Chain Validation

The $1.20 level has emerged as a pivotal psychological and technical threshold for WLD. On-chain data from BraveNewCoin and KuCoin reveals that the token has faced significant accumulation and distribution activity around this zone. For instance, Multicoin Capital recently acquired 60 million WLD via an OTC deal at an average price of $0.50, signaling institutional confidence in the token's long-term potential.

The NVT (Network Value to Total Sales) ratio and address activity further validate the $1.20+ resistance. BraveNewCoin data shows that WLD's NVT ratio has normalized, suggesting market value alignment. Additionally, granular address inflow/outflow data indicates that large holders (whales) are accumulating WLD near $1.20–$1.30, with inflows outpacing outflows in recent weeks. A successful breakout above this range could trigger a cascade of stop-loss orders and institutional buying, propelling the price toward $1.50 and beyond.

Macro Risks and Regulatory Considerations

While the technical and on-chain indicators are bullish, investors must remain cognizant of macro risks. The Worldcoin team's recent transfer of 44 million WLD ($25.6 million) has raised concerns about potential selling pressure. Furthermore, regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe-particularly around biometric data privacy- could delay mass adoption. Analysts at Bitget caution that a breakdown below $1.29 could expose WLD to a retest of $0.96 or even a decline toward $0.48 under sustained bearish pressure.

Conclusion: A High-Conviction Case for WLD in 2026

Worldcoin's price action and on-chain metrics paint a compelling case for a $1.20+ move in 2026. The falling wedge breakout, bull flag consolidation, and institutional accumulation around key resistance levels suggest that WLD is poised for a significant upward correction. While risks such as regulatory uncertainty and whale selling persist, the token's unique value proposition-biometric verification via World ID-positions it as a potential disruptor in the Web3 ecosystem.

For investors with a high-risk tolerance, WLD offers a rare combination of technical strength and narrative-driven growth. A clean breakout above $1.30 could catalyze a multi-month rally, with price targets extending to $2.50–$3.50. However, prudence is advised: as with any speculative asset, WLD's volatility demands rigorous risk management and a long-term perspective.