World Liberty Financial/Tether Market Overview

• Price rallied 1.08% on 24-hour timeframe
• Volatility expanded after sharp midday break
• Bullish engulfing and inside bars evident
• RSI shows moderate momentum, no overbought/oversold
• Volume and turnover diverged in afternoon hours

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at $0.2054 on 2025-09-26 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.2100 on 2025-09-27 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour high was $0.2151, and the low was $0.2024. Total volume was 91,135,278.97, with notional turnover of $18,289,371.72.

Structure & Formations

Price carved a strong intraday bullish pattern with a midday breakout above $0.2100, forming a large bullish engulfing candle in the 15-minute timeframe. A notable inside bar developed in the late afternoon, signaling potential consolidation. The daily close near the high suggests continuation potential. Key support levels were tested around $0.2060 and $0.2040, with the 20-period moving average (20SMA) at $0.2070 acting as a dynamic floor.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA crossed during the early afternoon, forming a bullish “golden cross” at $0.2068. The 50SMA is at $0.2076, while the 100SMA and 200SMA on the daily chart are at $0.2060 and $0.2048, respectively. Price is currently above both 50 and 20SMA on the 15-minute timeframe, suggesting continued short-term strength.

MACD & RSI

The MACD crossed above the signal line in the early afternoon, with a histogram that expanded through the session, reinforcing bullish momentum. RSI is currently at 58, suggesting moderate strength without entering overbought territory. A divergence was observed between the late afternoon price high and RSI, suggesting caution in chasing the move.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded as price broke out of a narrow Bollinger Band contraction in the early afternoon. Price closed just below the upper band at $0.2101, indicating strong short-term conviction. The 20-period standard deviation is at its highest level of the week, reflecting rising uncertainty and potential for further movement.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked in the afternoon, with the 15:45–16:00 ET session seeing a 15-minute high of 9.18 million units traded. Turnover diverged from price in the late afternoon as volume decreased while price continued to rise, suggesting potential exhaustion. Notional turnover reached $18.3 million for the 24-hour period, a 20% increase from the previous day.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci levels based on the $0.2024–$0.2151 swing show the 61.8% retrace at $0.2085, 50% at $0.2087, and 38.2% at $0.2097. Price is currently sitting just above the 61.8% retrace level, indicating a key area to watch for potential support or continuation.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could involve entering long positions when price breaks above the 20SMA on the 15-minute chart, confirmed by a bullish engulfing pattern. A stop loss could be placed below the nearest Fibonacci support level, and targets could be set at 38.2% and 61.8% retracement levels. This strategy would align with today’s price behavior and could be tested over recent similar volatility events to gauge its effectiveness.