Whales Fuel HBAR's Rebound as Retail Buyers Stay on the Sidelines

HBAR Price Rebounds Amid Easing Selling Pressure, Technical Indicators Suggest $0.25 Target

Hedera's native token HBAR has seen a notable rebound, with a 9% surge in the past 24 hours, trimming its three-month decline to 20%. Exchange inflows-indicative of selling activity-have plummeted 88% since October 11, from $4.43 million to $517,000, signaling reduced short-term pressure HBAR Price Hops on the Rebound Train as Selling Pressure Eases 88% — Is $0.25 Next?^[1]. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), a gauge of large wallet activity, has turned strongly positive at 0.10, confirming whale accumulation despite the broader market downturn HBAR Price Hops on the Rebound Train as Selling Pressure Eases 88% — Is $0.25 Next?^[1]. Meanwhile, the Money Flow Index (MFI) has softened, suggesting retail participation remains weak and whales are the primary counterbalance to selling HBAR Price Hops on the Rebound Train as Selling Pressure Eases 88% — Is $0.25 Next?^[1].

Technical analysis highlights early signs of a potential reversal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown bullish divergence: while HBAR's price hit a lower low in late September, the RSI formed a higher low, indicating weakening bearish momentum HBAR Price Hops on the Rebound Train as Selling Pressure Eases 88% — Is $0.25 Next?^[1]. Prices remain below a descending trendline but are testing key resistance at $0.22, a level that has historically capped recoveries. A breakout above this threshold could target $0.25, with further upside to $0.30 if momentum holds HBAR Price Hops on the Rebound Train as Selling Pressure Eases 88% — Is $0.25 Next?^[1]. However, the trend remains fragile; a drop below $0.16 would invalidate the rebound narrative and expose critical support at $0.14 HBAR Price Hops on the Rebound Train as Selling Pressure Eases 88% — Is $0.25 Next?^[1].

Whale activity has intensified, with large holders adding 127.8 million HBAR ($26.8 million) in two days, according to on-chain data HBAR Price Faces 10% Risk as Whales Step In^[3]. This accumulation contrasts with the Smart Money Index (SMI), which has flattened, reflecting cautious sentiment among high-confidence traders HBAR Price Faces 10% Risk as Whales Step In^[3]. The token's price action is confined within a rising wedge pattern on the 12-hour chart, a bearish formation that could trigger a 10% downside risk if $0.21 support fails HBAR Price Faces 10% Risk as Whales Step In^[3].

Institutional selling pressure briefly drove HBAR down 6% on October 10, with trading volumes spiking to 262.49 million in the final hour-six times the session average HBAR Tumbles 6% as Institutional Selling Drives Volume Surge^[2]. This selloff broke multiple support levels but stabilized as trading activity ceased, potentially due to liquidity constraints or regulatory anticipation HBAR Tumbles 6% as Institutional Selling Drives Volume Surge^[2]. Despite the volatility, HBAR's three-month rebound from $0.205 to $0.23 underscores resilience amid broader market turbulence HBAR Technical Analysis: Hedera Targets Key $0.25 Level^[5].

Institutional interest in HBAR has grown, fueled by strategic partnerships and anticipation of an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF). Hedera's integration with SWIFT's blockchain trials and a Grayscale trust filing for HBAR highlight its institutional credibility . These developments, coupled with its role in tokenizing real-world assets like BlackRock's money market fund, position HBAR as a contender for broader adoption HBAR Technical Analysis: Hedera Targets Key $0.25 Level^[5].