Whales, ETF Hopes, and Charts All Signal ADA's Next Big Move

ADA Surges Above 7, 25, and 99-Week MAs — Is a Major Rally Ahead?

Cardano (ADA) has recently exhibited strong technical momentum, with the token trading above key moving averages, including the 7-day, 25-day, and 99-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). Analysts are closely monitoring this development as a potential precursor to a significant price rally. This upward movement has been supported by a combination of macroeconomic signals and on-chain activity that suggest a favorable environment for altcoins.

Recent U.S. jobs data contributed to a shift in market sentiment, with August adding only 22,000 new jobs—far below the 79,000 added in July. The rise in unemployment to 4.3% has strengthened calls for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, with some analysts, including Mohamed El-Erian, asserting that this outcome is “guaranteed.” Such monetary easing typically increases risk appetite, potentially benefiting assets like ADA as both institutional and retail investors seek higher returns.

From a technical perspective, Cardano is not only above its 100-day EMA but also appears to have found support at critical Murrey Math levels. Two notable bullish patterns have formed on the charts: a bullish flag and an inverse head-and-shoulders formation. Analysts view these as indications of potential continuation and reversal setups, suggesting that ADA could target the $1.07 level, a 30% move from its current position. A break below $0.684 would, however, invalidate the bullish thesis.

Adding to the positive sentiment is the anticipation surrounding a possible approval of a spot ADA ETF application by the SEC, which is expected by October. This regulatory development could serve as a catalyst for increased institutional inflows, further reinforcing Cardano’s position as a top Layer-1 network. The success of other crypto ETFs this year has heightened optimism around this potential approval.

Looking at the broader market, ADA’s price trajectory has been characterized by a steady pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong base. Analysts have highlighted $1.18 as a critical breakout level, suggesting that a move above this threshold could mark the beginning of a multi-year bull run. Some models project ADA could reach as high as $12 under favorable market conditions, driven by growing market dominance and expanding ecosystem development.

Whale activity has also provided a bullish signal, with large investors accumulating over 150 million ADA in recent weeks. This accumulation has helped stabilize prices near the $0.85 level and reduced downside risk. Analysts view this on-chain behavior as a precursor to potential price rallies and believe that if the buying trend continues, ADA could attract attention from larger market participants.

Investor strategies for ADA are largely focused on long-term portfolio allocation. Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) remains a popular approach, with investors buying during dips and holding through volatility. Some investors are also rotating portions of their ADA holdings into native token (CNT) projects during pullbacks, a strategy that could benefit as Cardano’s ecosystem expands.

Source: [1] Cardano Price Set to Explode? Charts Hint at 30% Rally Ahead (https://coindoo.com/cardano-price-set-to-explode-charts-hint-at-30-rally-ahead/) [2] Cardano News: Price Poised for Multi-Year Rally Above $1.18 (https://thetradable.com/crypto/cardano-news-price-poised-for-multiyear-rally-above-118-ig--m) [3] Cardano Bull Reveals When He'll Start Selling His ADA Bag (https://thecryptobasic.com/2025/09/05/cardano-bull-reveals-when-hell-start-selling-his-ada-bag/) [4] Cardano Price Prediction: Could ADA Hit $2 by 2025 on Whale Accumulation? (https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1101553-20250906)