Visa (V) Options Signal Bullish Bias: Key Strike Levels and Trade Setups for Q4 2025

• Visa’s Q3 revenue hit $6.5B, up 12% YoY, driven by digital payments and international growth.
• Options market shows heavy call open interest at $365 and $350 strikes, with a put/call ratio of 0.83 (calls dominate).
• Block trade of 750 V20251017C350 calls hints at institutional bullishness ahead of October 17 expiration.
• RSI at 43.52 and MACD near zero suggest a potential rebound from oversold levels.

Here’s the thing: Visa’s options activity and technicals are painting a clear picture. The market is pricing in a bullish bias, but there’s a tightrope to walk between capitalizing on upside momentum and hedging against regulatory risks. Let’s break it down.

Bullish Sentiment in Options and Block Trades

The options chain for this Friday’s expiration is packed with heavy call open interest at $365 ($OI: 1,945) and $350 ($OI: 2,614), while puts dominate at $330 ($OI: 5,746). That’s not random—it’s a signal. Traders are betting on a rebound above $350, with the $365 level acting as a psychological ceiling. The put/call ratio of 0.83 (calls outweighing puts) reinforces this bias, even as the RSI hovers near oversold territory at 43.52.

But here’s the catch: the 200-day moving average ($345.75) and Bollinger Band middle ($346.03) are converging. If Visa breaks above $349.04 (today’s high), it could test the upper band at $353.66. However, the block trade of 750 V20251017C350 calls (expiring October 17) suggests smart money is positioning for a short-term pop. That’s a setup to watch—especially if the $350 level holds as support.

News Flow: Growth vs. Regulatory Headwinds

Visa’s recent headlines are a mixed bag. The $2.1B SecurePay acquisition and new contactless payment tools for small businesses are clear growth drivers. The 10% stock dividend and $1.5B share buyback program also scream confidence. But the EU’s data privacy inquiry is a wildcard. While the stock rallied 8% post-earnings, a 5% drop followed the regulatory news—a reminder that fundamentals don’t always override short-term sentiment.

Here’s what’s interesting: the market isn’t pricing in the EU risk aggressively. The put open interest at $330 (a 4.4% downside from current levels) is high, but the call bias suggests investors are more focused on the $365+ upside. That’s a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario—except the rumor here is Visa’s long-term dominance in digital payments.

Actionable Trade SetupsFor Options Traders:

• Bullish Play: Buy the V20251017C350 call (expiring October 17). If Visa closes above $350 by Friday, this could capitalize on the block trade’s momentum. Target: $355–$360.
• Bearish Hedge: Buy the V20251017P330 put for downside protection. If the EU inquiry escalates, this could limit losses. Stop-loss: below $341.93 (today’s low).
• Next-Week Setup: The V20251024C347.5 call (expiring October 24) offers a safer entry if the stock consolidates near $346.03 (Bollinger middle band).

For Stock Traders:

• Entry Near $341.58 (30-day support). If Visa holds here, target $353.66 (upper Bollinger band). Stop-loss: below $338.39 (lower band).
• Breakout Play: If the stock gaps above $349.04, consider adding to a long position at $350.50. Exit at $355 if the 200-day MA ($345.75) is retested.
• Bearish Spread: Sell the V20251017P330 and buy the V20251017P325 for a credit. This limits risk while profiting if the EU issue doesn’t derail the stock.

Volatility on the Horizon: Balancing Bullish Momentum and Regulatory Risks

Visa’s story is a classic tug-of-war between growth and governance. The options market is pricing in a near-term rebound, but the EU inquiry could create a speed bump. Here’s the bottom line: if the stock holds above $341.58, the $350–$365 range is a prime target. But if it breaks below $338.39, the puts at $330 could ignite a short-term selloff. The key is to stay nimble—use the call options for upside exposure and the puts as a safety net. Either way, Visa’s fundamentals are strong enough to justify a bullish stance… as long as the regulatory clouds don’t rain too hard.