VICI Properties Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Sentiment

1. Market Snapshot: A Cautionary Signal for VICI

VICI Properties (VICI.N) is currently in a weak technical position, with bearish signals dominating the landscape and analysts offering mixed guidance, suggesting investors may want to hold off on new positions. The stock is down 0.57% in recent trading, aligning with the pessimistic market expectations.

2. News Highlights: Hospitality Expansion and Macau Recovery

Recent developments in the hospitality sector highlight both growth and challenges:

• Hilton Expands in the Caribbean — The signing of Elephant Tree Resort and Villas Tobago under the Tapestry Collection by Hilton marks a new market entry for the brand in 2028, suggesting long-term sector confidence.
• Macau Gaming Revenue Rises — A recent jump in VIP traffic has boosted Macau’s gaming revenue, with the average daily GGR reaching MOP686m, up from MOP593m the previous week. This hints at improving demand in high-end leisure travel, a sector VICI indirectly serves through real estate partnerships.
• Hyatt Enters Southeast Asia — Hyatt’s new Lombok project represents its first foray into Southeast Asia under the Destination by Hyatt brand, indicating growing global demand for luxury travel, which may benefit VICI’s REIT exposure to hospitality real estate.

3. Analyst Views & Fundamentals: Mixed Signals from the Street

Analysts are divided in their views, with a simple average rating of 4.50 but a performance-weighted average of 0.00, reflecting poor historical accuracy. The two most recent ratings — a “Strong Buy” from Scotiabank and a “Buy” from Wells Fargo — are at odds with the stock's falling price trend and weak technical signals.

On the fundamentals, the internal diagnostic score is 5.6 (0-10), with mixed results across key metrics:

• Gross Profit Margin: 41.33% – Score: 2 (below industry average)
• Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities / Operating Revenue: -2632.05% – Score: 2 (negative cash flow)
• Current Liabilities / Total Liabilities: 49.54% – Score: 2 (relatively high)
• Rate of Return on Total Assets: -9.14% – Score: 2 (underperforming)
• Total Profit / EBIT: 100.00% – Score: 3 (EBIT fully covering total profit, showing leverage)
• Cash-UP: 0.12% – Score: 3 (weak liquidity)
• Long-Term Debt to Working Capital Ratio: 7.09% – Score: 2 (moderate)
• Annualized Return on Total Assets: -18.28% – Score: 2 (negative)
• Net Profit / Total Profit: 99.78% – Score: 2 (nearly all profit retained)

4. Money-Flow Trends: Negative Across the Board

Despite an overall inflow ratio of 49.43%, the flow is trending negatively for all investor categories. Large and extra-large investors are also contributing to the down trend, with inflow ratios of 49.12% and 49.63% respectively. The block inflow ratio is at 49.51%, confirming that institutional players are cautious. This divergence suggests a bearish bias at the institutional level, which may pressure the stock further in the short term.

5. Key Technical Signals: Overbought and Bearish

Technical indicators for VICI are mixed, with bearish signals dominating. The internal diagnostic technical score is 3.38 (0-10), with the following key signals:

• Williams %R Overbought Signal – Score: 1 (weak bearish). This pattern has historically returned -0.68% on average, with a win rate of just 36.54% over 52 signals.
• Bearish Engulfing Candle – Score: 5.75 (neutral bearish). This pattern has returned 0.21% on average, with a 58.33% win rate over 12 signals.

Recent indicators over the last five days show a concentration of overbought signals (WR Overbought) from August 25 to 29, 2025, with a bearish engulfing pattern emerging on August 28, indicating some short-term bearish momentum.

6. Conclusion: Watch for Cautious Institutional Behavior

With weak technicals, mixed analyst ratings, and negative institutional flows, VICI Properties is in a challenging spot. While the fundamentals score slightly above average at 5.6, the recent technical score of 3.38 and bearish signals suggest caution. Investors may want to consider waiting for a pull-back or clearer momentum before initiating new positions. For now, the market appears to be favoring patience over action.