Verisk Analytics Outlook - Mixed Signals as Technicals Sour and Funds Diverge

Market Snapshot

Headline takeaway: Despite strong fundamentals, Verisk Analytics (VRSK) faces bearish technical signals and weak analyst sentiment, suggesting investors should tread cautiously.

News Highlights

• MLB Partners with New Professional Softball League – Major League Baseball's strategic investment in women's sports could signal a growing trend in professional sports financing, potentially impacting broader market sentiment, though not directly related to VRSK.
• FDA Approves DexCom G4 Platinum Professional CGM – While not directly linked to Verisk, regulatory approvals like these highlight ongoing innovation in the professional services and data analytics space, an area Verisk operates in.
• Chase Buchanan Earns CII International Professional Partner Status – This shows a growing focus on professional services for global expats, which could reflect a broader market appetite for firms like Verisk that provide risk and data analytics.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analyst sentiment for Verisk Analytics is mixed, with only one firm, Wolfe Research, having issued a "Buy" rating in the last 20 days. However, this rating has a 0.00% historical win rate and an average return of -4.98%, according to our internal records. The simple average rating score is 4.00, while the weighted rating score is 0.00, due to the poor historical performance of the single rating provided.

Current price trends show a 3.74% drop over recent periods, and ratings are not aligned with this price movement—ratings are generally optimistic while prices are declining.

Key fundamental values include:

• Price-to-Book (PB) = 10.88 — High valuation relative to book value, internal diagnostic score: 3/10
• Price-to-Earnings (PE) = 205.93 — Extremely high multiple, internal diagnostic score: 3/10
• ROE (Diluted) YoY Growth = 138.99% — Strong return on equity growth, internal diagnostic score: 3/10
• Total Profit / EBIT = 89.69% — High operating efficiency, internal diagnostic score: 3/10
• Operating Revenue YoY Growth = 7.38% — Moderate revenue growth, internal diagnostic score: 3/10

These fundamentals earned an overall score of 8.25 from our proprietary model, suggesting strong long-term value but mixed short-term signals.

Money-Flow Trends

Big money is flowing into VRSK despite weak technical signals. The block inflow ratio stands at 53.98%, with large and extra-large funds showing a positive trend. However, retail and mid-sized flows are negative, with the small-trend and medium-trend indicators both pointing downward.

The overall fund-flow score is 7.95 (out of 10), classified as "good", indicating strong institutional confidence despite bearish chart patterns and weak analyst ratings.

Key Technical Signals

Verisk's technical outlook is extremely bearish, with a technical score of 2.16. Here's a breakdown of key indicators:

• WR Overbought – Internal diagnostic score: 2.13, indicating overbought conditions that historically result in negative returns (avg. -0.42%) with only 45.59% win rate.
• WR Oversold – Score: 3.4, with moderate historical returns (avg. 0.22%) and a 51.92% win rate.
• Bearish Engulfing – Score: 2.1, a strong bearish reversal pattern with a 37.5% win rate and 0.49% average return.
• Marubozu White – Score: 1, a weak bullish signal with 33.33% win rate and -0.80% average return.

Recent chart patterns include a Marubozu White on 2025-09-03 and 2025-09-11, and a Bearish Engulfing on 2025-09-12, all of which reinforce the bearish bias.

Key insights from technical analysis: 4 bearish vs. 0 bullish indicators, and the trend suggests a high risk of further decline.

Conclusion

While Verisk Analytics holds strong fundamentals with a high internal diagnostic score of 8.25, the technical outlook is highly bearish, with a score of 2.16, and recent analyst guidance has been weak. Money flows remain positive from large institutional investors, but retail and medium-sized flows are declining.

Actionable takeaway: Investors should consider waiting for a pull-back or clearer signs of reversal before entering a long position. With bearish chart patterns and weak analyst ratings, now may not be the best time to chase VRSK's high-flying fundamentals.