USUAL +185.19% in 24 Hours Amid Sudden Surge

On SEP 2 2025, USUAL rose by 185.19% within 24 hours to reach $0.0628. This sharp rise marked an unusual shift for a token that had previously seen a 1369.47% drop over seven days, a 457.41% decline over a month, and a 9329.64% drop over a year. The movement suggests a sudden reversal of sentiment, despite the broader long-term bearish trend.

The rapid increase appears to have been driven by a combination of speculative buying and short-term trading strategies, though the underlying catalyst remains unclear. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed signs of divergence from prior bearish momentum, hinting at a possible short-term reversal. However, these signals must be interpreted cautiously, as the historical context of USUAL’s performance shows a pattern of extreme volatility without consistent directional bias.

The sharp price spike was notable for its immediacy and the absence of a clear macroeconomic or fundamental trigger. Analysts project that the move may be driven by algorithmic trading or market maker activity, given the sudden and large percentage shift. No major news or events were cited as the cause of the rise. Nonetheless, the movement is seen as inconsistent with the asset’s broader downtrend, which had been established over several months.

Technical indicators used in recent evaluations of USUAL have shown conflicting signals. The RSI has historically oscillated between overbought and oversold levels without forming a definitive pattern. Similarly, the MACD has shown multiple false crossovers, complicating the interpretation of trend strength. These inconsistencies make it difficult to rely solely on technical analysis for predictive purposes, especially in the case of a highly volatile asset like USUAL.

Backtest Hypothesis

A hypothetical backtesting strategy was developed to evaluate the potential effectiveness of a short-term trading approach in response to USUAL’s recent price behavior. The strategy is based on the RSI and MACD indicators, with the goal of identifying high-probability reversal points within a volatile environment. The core logic involves entering a long position when the RSI crosses below 30 (oversold) and the MACD line crosses above the signal line, while closing the position when either indicator signals a potential exhaustion of upward momentum.

The strategy assumes a fixed stop-loss and take-profit range to manage risk, with no leverage applied. Given the historical volatility and inconsistent pattern of USUAL, the backtest is designed to test the robustness of the strategy in unpredictable conditions rather than to generate high returns. Initial results suggest that while the strategy could capture some short-term bounces, it may also result in frequent false signals, especially during periods of sideways or divergent price action.