Unitil's 15min chart: Bollinger Bands Narrowing, Bearish Marubozu signal detected.

Based on the 15-minute chart for Unitil, the Bollinger Bands have recently narrowed, indicating a decrease in the magnitude of stock price fluctuations. This narrowing, combined with the occurrence of a bearish Marubozu candlestick at 09/25/2025 13:30, suggests that the sellers are currently in control of the market. As a result, it is likely that bearish momentum will continue.

Unitil Corporation (NYSE: UTL), an integrated utilities company, has been the subject of recent financial analysis, with particular focus on its intrinsic value and market indicators. Based on a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, Unitil's estimated fair value is $57.36, indicating that the stock may be undervalued by 21% relative to its current share price of $45.31 Unitil Corporation's (NYSE:UTL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 27% Above Its Share Price^[1].

The DCF model used in this analysis employs dividends per share (DPS) payments, which are more commonly used for utility companies due to the difficulty in estimating free cash flows. The model assumes a perpetual growth rate in dividends, equal to the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (3.1%), and discounts this figure to today's value at a cost of equity of 6.8%. This results in an intrinsic value of $57.4 per share.

Market indicators, such as the Bollinger Bands and candlestick patterns, have also provided insights into Unitil's recent market performance. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed, suggesting a decrease in the magnitude of stock price fluctuations. Additionally, the occurrence of a bearish Marubozu candlestick on September 25, 2025, at 13:30, indicates that sellers are currently in control of the market, potentially leading to continued bearish momentum.

While the DCF model offers a valuable perspective on Unitil's valuation, it is essential to consider other factors, such as the company's financial health and market conditions. Unitil's SWOT analysis reveals several challenges, including declining earnings, insufficient interest coverage, and a low dividend compared to peers. However, the company also presents an opportunity for investors, trading below its estimated fair value by more than 20%.

Investors should approach Unitil's valuation with caution, considering the potential risks and the company's overall performance. As with any investment, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making decisions.