United States Antimony (UAMY) Surges 8.97% on Explosive Bullish Momentum: Is This the Start of a New Rally?

Summary
• United States Antimony (UAMY) rockets 8.97% to $8.445, trading at its intraday high of $8.60 after a volatile session.
• Technical indicators unanimously signal 'Buy' across 12 major metrics, including RSI (63.52), MACD (0.513), and stochastic (75.69).
• Options frenzy: 1325 contracts traded for the $8.5 call expiring Jan 23, with 73.81% price change ratio.

United States Antimony’s stock has erupted in a dramatic 8.97% surge, fueled by a perfect storm of technical buy signals and options-driven volatility. With the stock trading near its 52-week high of $19.71 and a dynamic PE of -218.81, the question looms: Is this a short-lived spike or the start of a sustained rally?

Technical Overload Ignites UAMY’s Volatility
The explosive 8.97% move in UAMY is driven by an unprecedented technical alignment. All 12 major indicators—including RSI (63.52), MACD (0.513), and stochastic (75.69)—are in 'Buy' territory, while the ADX (33.29) and ROC (42.04) confirm a strong bullish trend. The stock’s price action has pierced multiple pivot points (Classic R1 at $8.50, Camarilla R1 at $7.8563), triggering algorithmic and retail buying. High implied volatility (242.93% for the $4 call) and a 9.37% turnover rate further amplify the momentum, suggesting a short-term continuation.

Options Playbook: Capitalizing on UAMY’s Volatility
• Technical Indicators:
- 200-day MA: $5.046 (below current price)
- RSI: 63.52 (buy signal)
- MACD: 0.513 (bullish)
- ATR: 0.912 (high volatility)
- ADX: 33.29 (trending)

Trading Setup: UAMY’s price is testing key resistance at $8.60 (intraday high) and $8.50 (Classic R1). A break above $8.60 could target $9.25 (Classic R2), while a pullback to $7.40 (intraday low) may retest $7.34 (Classic S1). The 52-week range (1.21–19.71) provides a long-term ceiling, but short-term momentum favors continuation.

Top Options:
• UAMY20260123C8.5
- Type: Call
- Strike: $8.50
- Expiry: 2026-01-23
- IV: 130.97% (high)
- Leverage Ratio: 11.62% (high)
- Delta: 0.542 (moderate)
- Theta: -0.0527 (high decay)
- Gamma: 0.2157 (high sensitivity)
- Turnover: 92,725 (liquid)
- Payoff: At 5% upside (8.867), payoff = max(0, 8.867 - 8.50) = $0.367 per share. High leverage and gamma make this ideal for aggressive bulls.
• UAMY20260123C9.5
- Type: Call
- Strike: $9.50
- Expiry: 2026-01-23
- IV: 120.71% (moderate)
- Leverage Ratio: 21.21% (very high)
- Delta: 0.323 (low)
- Theta: -0.0405 (moderate decay)
- Gamma: 0.2117 (high sensitivity)
- Turnover: 7,615 (liquid)
- Payoff: At 5% upside, payoff = max(0, 8.867 - 9.50) = $0.00. While out-of-the-money, the 21.21% leverage offers explosive potential if the stock breaks $9.50.

Action: Aggressive bulls should consider UAMY20260123C8.5 for a near-term breakout play. If the stock holds above $7.40, UAMY20260123C9.5 offers high-risk, high-reward potential.

Backtest United States Antimony Stock Performance
The backtest of UAMY's performance after a 9% intraday increase from 2022 to now shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 46.90%, the 10-Day win rate is 49.25%, and the 30-Day win rate is 54.18%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short term. The maximum return during the backtest was 27.18% over 30 days, suggesting that UAMY can deliver significant gains even after the initial surge.

UAMY’s Volatility: A Short-Term Rally or a Correction?
UAMY’s 8.97% surge is a textbook case of technical overload, with all indicators aligned for a bullish continuation. However, the stock’s dynamic PE of -218.81 and 52-week high of $19.71 suggest caution for long-term investors. Immediate focus should be on $8.60 (intraday high) and $7.40 (intraday low) as critical levels. Sector leader Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) gained 1.47%, but UAMY’s movement is driven by its own technicals, not sector trends. Watch for a break above $8.60 or a breakdown below $7.40 to confirm the next move.