Uber Technologies cae un 5,18% por la reducción de incentivos para vehículos eléctricos y compromisos climáticos inciertos

Summary
• Uber’s stock tumbles to an intraday low of $84.31, a 5.18% drop from its previous close of $89.07.
• The company abruptly ends EV driver bonuses, signaling a retreat from its 2020 pledge to electrify 100% of rides in key markets by 2030.
• Regulatory headwinds in Europe and a shift in U.S. policy alignment with Trump’s anti-environmental agenda amplify investor concerns.

Uber Technologies (UBER) faces a volatile session as its stock price collapses amid a strategic pivot away from electric vehicle (EV) incentives and a controversial alignment with Trump-era policies. The ride-hailing giant’s decision to terminate monthly EV bonuses for drivers, coupled with its support for legislation that slashes clean-energy incentives, has triggered a sharp sell-off. With the stock trading at $84.455, down from a 52-week high of $101.99, the market is recalibrating its expectations for Uber’s climate ambitions and operational profitability.

EV Incentive Cuts and Climate Policy Shifts Spark Investor Distrust
Uber’s abrupt termination of EV driver bonuses—once a cornerstone of its climate strategy—has sent shockwaves through the market. The company, which had allocated $800 million to incentivize drivers to switch to electric vehicles, now claims it will rely on rider demand to drive EV adoption. This shift, coupled with Uber’s endorsement of Trump’s 'Big Beautiful Bill'—a law projected to slow U.S. EV adoption by 40%—has raised red flags. Investors are now questioning the company’s commitment to its 2030 electrification goals, particularly as its operating profits are set to double this year while EV adoption lags. The move also aligns with broader corporate trends of prioritizing short-term gains over long-term sustainability pledges.

Ridesharing Sector Under Pressure as LYFT Mirrors UBER’s Decline
The ridesharing sector is experiencing synchronized weakness, with LYFT (LYFT) down 6.57% intraday, reflecting shared challenges. Both companies face regulatory scrutiny in Europe and a shift in U.S. policy toward less aggressive climate targets. While LYFT has quietly abandoned its 2030 EV fleet pledge, Uber’s abrupt policy reversal has amplified sector-wide concerns. The sector’s struggles are compounded by declining driver incentives and rising operational costs, creating a bearish environment for both stocks.

Navigating Volatility: ETFs and Options for a Bearish UBER Play
• 200-day average: $87.38 (below current price); RSI: 46.02 (neutral); MACD: -0.76 (bearish divergence).
• Bollinger Bands: UBER is trading near the lower band ($82.01), suggesting oversold conditions.

Uber’s technicals and fundamentals align for a bearish setup. The stock is testing its 200-day moving average and RSI is in neutral territory, indicating potential for further downside. The Roundhill UBER WeeklyPay ETF (UBEW) is down 5.87%, reflecting the sector’s weakness. For options traders, two contracts stand out:

• UBER20251219P79 (Put, $79 strike, 12/19 expiration):
- IV: 37.16% (moderate); Leverage Ratio: 160.18% (high); Delta: -0.1814 (moderate sensitivity); Theta: -0.0022 (low time decay); Gamma: 0.0515 (high sensitivity to price swings); Turnover: 7,520 (liquid).
- This put option offers high leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a potential 5% downside move. A 5% drop to $79.78 would yield a 160% return on the $79 strike.

• UBER20251219P84 (Put, $84 strike, 12/19 expiration):
- IV: 40.24% (moderate); Leverage Ratio: 43.16% (moderate); Delta: -0.4697 (high sensitivity); Theta: -0.2658 (high time decay); Gamma: 0.0717 (very high sensitivity); Turnover: 60,005 (highly liquid).
- This contract balances leverage and gamma, making it suitable for a short-term bearish play. A 5% drop would result in a 43% return on the $84 strike.

Action Alert: Aggressive bears should prioritize UBER20251219P79 for its high leverage and liquidity. If UBER breaks below $83.69 (30D support), consider scaling into UBER20251219P84 for a layered bearish position.

Backtest Uber Technologies Stock Performance
After experiencing a -5% intraday plunge from 2022 to the present, UBER (Uber Technologies) has shown mixed short-term performance but consistent long-term gains. The 3-Day win rate is 52.10%, the 10-Day win rate is 52.31%, and the 30-Day win rate is 61.76%, indicating a higher probability of positive returns in the short to medium term. The maximum return during the backtest was 8.37% over 30 days, suggesting that while UBER may experience volatility, it has the potential for recovery and growth.

Uber’s Climate Retreat and Regulatory Risks Signal a Pivotal Crossroads
Uber’s strategic pivot away from EV incentives and its alignment with anti-environmental policies have created a perfect storm for its stock. With the company now relying on rider demand to drive electrification—a strategy that risks alienating drivers—investors must watch for regulatory backlash and further profit-driven concessions. The sector leader, LYFT, is down 6.57%, underscoring shared vulnerabilities. For UBER, a breakdown below $83.69 (30D support) or a regulatory escalation in Europe could trigger a deeper sell-off. Act now: Short-term bears should target UBER20251219P79, while long-term investors should monitor LYFT’s performance as a sector barometer.