Tower Semiconductor cae un 7.36%: ¿Qué está detrás de esta caída repentina?

Summary
• Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) trades at $114.61, down 6.22% intraday amid a broader tech sector decline.
• Tel Aviv 35 Index drops 0.40%, with chip stocks like TSEM, Camtek, and Nova leading losses.
• Entegris (ENTG) outperforms TSEM in growth metrics but trails in earnings estimate revisions.

The semiconductor sector faces a sharp selloff as global markets react to geopolitical tensions and AI-driven supply chain bottlenecks. Tower Semiconductor’s 6.22% intraday drop mirrors a broader retreat in tech stocks, with the Tel Aviv 35 Index slipping 0.40%. Analysts highlight diverging fundamentals between TSEM and peers like Entegris, while options activity suggests heightened bearish positioning ahead of key support levels.

Sector-Wide Selloff Hits Tower Semiconductor as Tech Stocks Retreat
Tower Semiconductor’s 6.22% intraday decline aligns with a broader selloff in the semiconductor sector, driven by weak sentiment in global equity markets and rising concerns over AI-driven supply chain bottlenecks. The Tel Aviv 35 Index fell 0.40%, with chip stocks like TSEM, Camtek, and Nova leading the decline. News from Globes English highlights a 6.08% drop in TSEM, the largest fall on the index, as investors reassess valuations amid slowing demand for advanced manufacturing nodes. The move reflects broader macroeconomic anxieties, including rising interest rates and geopolitical risks, which have pressured high-growth tech stocks.

Semiconductor Sector Struggles as Tech Stocks Face Broad Pressure
The semiconductor sector’s selloff is not isolated to Tower Semiconductor. Camtek (CAMT) fell 5.14%, and Nova (NVMI) dropped 3.38%, underscoring sector-wide weakness. The Tel Aviv 35 Index’s 0.40% decline reflects broader market jitters, with investors rotating into defensive assets. While TSEM’s 6.22% drop is steeper than the index, the move is consistent with a sector grappling with near-term demand uncertainties and valuation corrections.

Options and ETF Strategies for Navigating TSEM's Volatility
• MACD: 4.06 (Signal Line: 4.95, Histogram: -0.88) suggests bearish momentum.
• RSI: 62.85 (neutral) indicates no overbought/oversold extremes.
• Bollinger Bands: Price near lower band (112.92) signals potential support.
• 200D MA: 63.74 (far below current price) highlights long-term bullish trend.

Key levels to watch: 112.92 (lower Bollinger Band), 114.61 (current price), and 120.41 (middle Bollinger Band). Short-term bearish bias aligns with the 112.92 support test, while the 200D MA remains a critical long-term reference. Options liquidity is concentrated in January 16 and February 20 expirations, with the TSEM20260116P110 and TSEM20260116C120 contracts offering strategic entry points.

Top Options Picks:
• TSEM20260116P110 (Put):
- Strike: $110, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 61.34% (high volatility), Leverage: 48.12%, Delta: -0.316 (moderate bearish exposure), Theta: -0.040 (slow time decay), Gamma: 0.032 (high sensitivity).
- Turnover: $438 (liquid).
- Why it stands out: High leverage and gamma make this put ideal for a 5% downside scenario (targeting $109.13 payoff).
• TSEM20260116C120 (Call):
- Strike: $120, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 50.82% (moderate), Leverage: 69.41%, Delta: 0.297 (moderate bullish exposure), Theta: -0.325 (aggressive time decay), Gamma: 0.038 (high sensitivity).
- Turnover: $38,180 (high liquidity).
- Why it stands out: Strong liquidity and leverage suit a rebound trade if TSEM breaks above 120.41 (middle Bollinger Band).

Action Insight: Aggressive bears may target TSEM20260116P110 if $112.92 breaks, while bulls should watch for a rebound above $120.41.

Backtest Tower Semiconductor Stock Performance
The backtest of TSEM's performance after a -6% intraday plunge from 2022 to now shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 53.81%, the 10-Day win rate is 52.16%, and the 30-Day win rate is 54.43%. Additionally, the maximum return during the backtest period was 7.35%, indicating that TSEM has the potential for positive gains following a significant pullback.

TSEM Faces Crucial Support Test: Immediate Action Required
Tower Semiconductor’s 6.22% intraday drop has brought its price near the lower Bollinger Band at $112.92, a critical support level. The sector’s selloff, driven by macroeconomic jitters and AI-driven supply chain bottlenecks, suggests near-term volatility will persist. Investors should monitor the 112.92 support and the 120.41 resistance for directional clues. The sector leader TSM (TSMC) fell 0.48%, signaling broader tech sector fragility. Act now: Short-term bears should consider TSEM20260116P110 for a 5% downside play, while bulls should wait for a confirmed rebound above $120.41.