Texas Instruments Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Sentiment

Market Snapshot

Takeaway: Texas Instruments (TXN) is currently showing weak technical signals with an internal diagnostic score of 1.84 and a falling price trend of -3.73%.

Stance: The overall trend is bearish, with more bearish indicators (4) than bullish ones (0), suggesting investors should consider avoiding the stock for now.

News Highlights

Recent news has focused on the semiconductor sector, including tariffs, green innovation, and market dynamics. Key highlights include:

• "McKinsey weighs in on tariffs and chip supply chains" - This report highlights how US trade policies may impact semiconductor companies like Texas Instruments.
• "Japan to Offer U.S. Proposals for Cooperation on Rare Earths, Semiconductors" - Potential international collaboration could indirectly affect semiconductor supply chain strategies.
• "US Semiconductors ETF SOXX Faces $750M Net Outflow in May 2025" - A significant outflow from semiconductors ETFs may signal investor caution, potentially impacting Texas Instruments as well.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score (simple mean): 3.33

Weighted Rating Score (performance-weighted): 2.65

Rating Consistency: Analysts are not in agreement; ratings include "Strong Buy," "Neutral," and "Sell," indicating a mixed outlook.

Alignment with Price Trend: The current price trend is down, and the weighted expectations match this bearish sentiment.

Key Fundamental Values:

• Net cash flow from operating activities per share (YoY growth rate %): 5.14% (internal diagnostic score: 1.00)
• Net profit attributable to parent company shareholders / Net profit %: 99.47% (internal diagnostic score: 1.00)
• EV/EBIT: 136.78 (internal diagnostic score: 2.00)
• Accounts receivable turnover ratio: 4.66 (internal diagnostic score: 1.00)
• Interest coverage ratio (EBIT / Interest expense) %: 11.55% (internal diagnostic score: 2.00)
• Diluted earnings per share (YoY growth rate %): 11.16% (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)
• Net profit attributable to parent company shareholders (YoY growth rate %): 10.81% (internal diagnostic score: 2.00)
• Cash-MV: -0.34 (internal diagnostic score: 0.00)

Money-Flow Trends

Texas Instruments is experiencing positive inflows from large and extra-large investors, with an overall inflow ratio of 0.56. In contrast, small investors are showing a negative trend, which indicates a lack of retail confidence.

Big-money flows: Large investors are pushing in, with an inflow ratio of 0.47 for large investors and 0.62 for extra-large investors.

Retail flows: Small investors are pulling back, with an inflow ratio of 0.49 and a negative trend. This suggests that retail sentiment is bearish.

The overall fund-flow score is 7.82, which is categorized as "good," indicating that institutional money is still finding value in the stock.

Key Technical Signals

Texas Instruments is currently facing several bearish signals on its technical chart:

• WR Oversold: This indicator has an internal diagnostic score of 2.05, suggesting it is not a strong bearish signal.
• Bearish Engulfing: With an internal diagnostic score of 1.00, this is a strong bearish pattern.
• Inverted Hammer: This pattern has an internal diagnostic score of 1.00, indicating a strong bearish bias.

Recent indicators by date show that bearish patterns have been recurring over the last five days, with the most recent appearing on September 16, 2025.

Momentum & Trend Quality: Technical indicators are clearly bearish, with 4 out of 4 recent signals leaning negative. This weak trend suggests that investors should consider avoiding Texas Instruments until the momentum shifts.

Conclusion

With weak technical signals and mixed analyst sentiment, Texas Instruments is currently not in a strong position for new investors. The stock has an internal technical score of 1.84 and is showing a -3.73% price trend, suggesting caution is warranted. While institutional money is still flowing in, retail investors are pulling back. Investors may want to wait for a pull-back or clearer signs of stabilization before considering a position in TXN.