Tensor/Tether (TNSRUSDT) Market Overview

• Price rose 1.3% over 24 hours with a bullish close near a key resistance.
• RSI remains in neutral territory, suggesting potential for continued upward momentum.
• Volatility increased with strong volume on the breakout attempt from consolidation.
• Bollinger Bands show moderate expansion, supporting a continuation of current trend.
• Fibonacci 38.2% level acted as support, now potentially shifting to resistance.

Tensor/Tether (TNSRUSDT) opened at $0.0948 on 2025-09-26 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.0995, a low of $0.0948, and closed at $0.0994 on 2025-09-27 at 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume was 7,062,354.4, and turnover was $687,236.9.

Structure & Formations

The 24-hour period displayed a strong bullish trend, with Tensor/Tether forming a key breakout from a consolidation pattern between $0.0969 and $0.0975. A key resistance at $0.0977 was tested and broken, with a high at $0.0995 indicating bullish momentum. A bullish engulfing pattern formed around $0.0975, suggesting continued strength. A potential double bottom pattern may be forming near $0.0969, with the second rebound appearing more robust.

A doji was observed at $0.0971, indicating indecision before the upward move, while the prior bearish candlestick hinted at bearish exhaustion.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA crossed above the price during the breakout, supporting a bullish signal. The 50EMA appears to be acting as a dynamic support. For the daily chart, the 50DMA crossed above the 100DMA, confirming a bullish crossover that reinforces the current uptrend. The 200DMA is now acting as a strong support level around $0.0963.

MACD & RSI

MACD remained in positive territory throughout most of the session, with a strong positive crossover and expanding histogram, reinforcing bullish momentum. RSI stayed within 50–65, suggesting moderate strength without reaching overbought levels. A breakout above $0.0995 could trigger an RSI push into overbought territory, signaling a potential correction or pullback.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands displayed moderate expansion, with the price moving above the upper band at $0.0995. This indicates a breakout in a higher-volatility environment. The current price is trading near the upper band, which may act as temporary resistance. If the upper band remains above $0.0985, the bullish trend could continue.

Volume & Turnover

Volume increased significantly as the price approached and broke the $0.0977 resistance, with the largest spike occurring at $0.0995. Turnover surged to over $49,000 on the $0.0995 high, confirming the breakout with strong buying interest. A divergence appears in volume between $0.0977 and $0.0995, where price advanced but volume decreased slightly, suggesting possible profit-taking.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci retracements on the 15-minute chart show the $0.0975 level as a key 38.2% retracement, which acted as support before the breakout. The 61.8% level at $0.0989 may now act as a critical resistance. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement of the recent bearish swing is at $0.0963, now functioning as a strong support.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the recent bullish momentum and the confirmation of key support and resistance levels, a backtesting strategy could focus on entering long positions at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.0975) with a stop-loss placed below $0.097. A target could be set at the 61.8% level ($0.0989), with a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.5.

Alternatively, a breakout strategy could be tested by entering on a close above $0.0995, with a stop just below the prior consolidation range. This aligns with the MACD and volume signals from the session, suggesting a higher probability of continued upside.

Looking ahead, Tensor/Tether appears to be in a strong bullish phase, with momentum indicators and volume confirming the move. The next 24 hours may see a test of $0.0995 and potential pullback into the $0.0985–$0.0989 range. Investors should monitor for overbought RSI and diverging volume signals, which could signal a short-term correction. As always, market volatility remains a risk, especially with large candlestick swings observed.