Tempus AI Surges 7.45% on Upcoming J.P. Morgan Presentation: Is This the Catalyst for a Breakout?

Summary
• Tempus AI (TEM) surges 7.45% to $69.52, driven by anticipation of its J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference presentation.
• CEO Eric Lefkofsky’s live Q&A on January 12, 2026, fuels investor optimism.
• Intraday range of $66.16–$69.90 highlights volatility amid sector-specific momentum.

Tempus AI’s sharp intraday rally has captured market attention, with the stock trading at a 7.45% premium to its previous close. The surge coincides with the company’s upcoming presentation at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, a high-visibility event that could catalyze institutional interest. Technical indicators suggest a short-term bullish bias, though long-term consolidation remains a factor.

J.P. Morgan Presentation Fuels Short-Term Optimism
The immediate catalyst for Tempus AI’s 7.45% intraday surge is its scheduled presentation at the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference on January 12, 2026. CEO Eric Lefkofsky’s live Q&A session, coupled with the company’s focus on AI-driven precision medicine, has positioned TEM as a focal point for investors seeking exposure to healthcare innovation. The event’s timing—just days away—has amplified speculative buying, particularly among retail and institutional traders anticipating positive sentiment from the presentation. Additionally, Tempus’s recent revenue growth and strategic partnerships in oncology research underpin the stock’s technical strength.

Health Information Services Sector Gains Momentum as Veeva Systems Leads
The Health Information Services sector has seen mixed performance, with Veeva Systems (VEEV) surging 7.2% on the same day. Tempus AI’s rally aligns with broader sector optimism, driven by AI adoption in healthcare and regulatory tailwinds. However, TEM’s 7.45% move outpaces peers like Teladoc Health (TDOC) and Doximity (DOCS), which have posted gains of 9.76% and -0.13%, respectively. The sector’s focus on data-driven solutions and telehealth expansion creates a favorable backdrop for Tempus’s AI-centric value proposition.

Leveraged ETF and Options Playbook for TEM’s Volatility-Driven Move
• Tradr 2X Long TEM Daily ETF (TEMT): 15.67, +15.05%
• 200-day MA: 67.95 (below current price)
• RSI: 38.00 (oversold)
• MACD: -3.49 (bearish), Signal: -3.45 (neutral)
• Bollinger Bands: 55.59–78.69 (current price near upper band)

Tempus AI’s technical profile suggests a short-term bullish bias, with the stock trading near its 30-day MA of 69.54 and above the 200-day MA. The RSI at 38.00 indicates oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram (-0.04) hints at waning bearish momentum. The Tradr 2X Long TEM Daily ETF (TEMT) offers leveraged exposure to TEM’s volatility, with a 15.05% intraday gain amplifying the stock’s move. For options, two contracts stand out:

• TEM20260116C65 (Call)
- Strike: $65, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 75.98% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.718 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.306 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0369 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 66,760 (liquid)
- Leverage Ratio: 11.11% (moderate)
- Payoff at 5% Upside (73.00): $8.00 (max(0, 73.00 - 65))
- This call option is ideal for aggressive bulls capitalizing on the stock’s proximity to its 52-week high ($104.32). The high gamma and moderate delta ensure responsiveness to further price surges, while the 75.98% IV reflects elevated volatility expectations.

• TEM20260116P65 (Put)
- Strike: $65, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 75.53% (high volatility)
- Delta: -0.281 (moderate downside protection)
- Theta: -0.059 (slow time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0370 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 116,031 (liquid)
- Leverage Ratio: 40.85% (high)
- Payoff at 5% Upside (73.00): $0 (max(0, 65 - 73.00))
- This put option offers downside protection with a high leverage ratio (40.85%) and 75.53% IV. The moderate delta (-0.281) ensures it gains value if the stock corrects, while the high gamma (0.0370) amplifies its responsiveness to volatility swings. Aggressive bulls may pair this with the call for a straddle strategy.

Hook: Aggressive bulls may consider TEM20260116C65 into a breakout above $70.00, while hedgers should eye TEM20260116P65 for downside insurance.

Backtest Tempus AI Stock Performance
The performance of TEM after a 7% intraday surge from 2022 to now has been backtested by AInvest, but the specific details of this backtest are not currently available. However, we can infer that the strategy was likely tested using historical data to simulate its performance under ideal conditions. This allows investors to assess the strategy's potential profitability and risk before implementing it in live trading.

Tempus AI’s J.P. Morgan Play: Position for a Post-Presentation Rally
Tempus AI’s 7.45% intraday surge is a clear signal of short-term momentum driven by its upcoming J.P. Morgan presentation. The stock’s technicals—oversold RSI, bullish Kline pattern, and proximity to key resistance levels—suggest a high probability of continuation. Sector leader Veeva Systems (VEEV) rising 7.2% reinforces the sector’s strength. Investors should prioritize the Tradr 2X Long TEM Daily ETF (TEMT) for leveraged exposure and consider the TEM20260116C65 call for a breakout play. Watch for a post-presentation breakout above $70.00 or a pullback to the 64.34 support zone.