Stock Analysis | Take-Two Interactive Outlook - A Mixed Picture Amid Analyst Optimism and Technical Weakness

Market Snapshot

Headline takeaway: Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) has seen a recent price rise of 4.65%, with analysts showing a generally optimistic bias, but technical indicators suggest caution.

News Highlights

Recent headlines feature developments unrelated to gaming, such as U.S. changes in COVID-19 vaccine policy, Trump’s fast-tracking of a Utah uranium mine, and a Supreme Court ruling in India that may increase tax burdens on gaming apps. While none of these directly affect TTWO, the latter—related to Indian gaming regulations—could indirectly impact TTWO's international operations if tax rules become more onerous for digital entertainment platforms.

Additionally, news of Ethereum and Solana ETF plans from REX Shares could signal a broader shift in investor sentiment toward blockchain-related assets, which may influence TTWO’s market environment if the company explores NFTs or other crypto-linked initiatives.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analysts remain cautiously optimistic. The simple average rating is 4.50, while the performance-weighted rating is 4.04. The ratings are not entirely consistent, with a mix of "Strong Buy" and "Buy" recommendations. The market's weighted expectations align with the recent price rise of 4.65%, suggesting the stock is broadly seen as undervalued.

Key fundamentals include:

• Shareholders’ equity growth (YoY): 2.30% (score: 3)
• ROE: -6.30% (score: 4)
• Profit-MV: -12.95% (score: 2)
• Cash-MV: 5.40% (score: 1)
• Non-current liabilities / Total liabilities: 56.02% (score: 1)

While some fundamentals show strength, particularly in equity growth and cash positions, weak ROE and profit ratios drag down the overall score. The overall fundamental model score is 5.77.

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money flows appear more bullish than retail activity. The overall inflow ratio is 53.73%, with institutional (block) inflows at 54.29%. Extra-large and small investors are also trending positive, while large investors show a negative trend. This mixed flow pattern suggests that while retail and small investors are optimistic, larger players are more cautious.

The fund-flow score is 7.55, indicating a generally positive flow environment.

Key Technical Signals

Technically, TTWO is in a weak position with 2 bearish indicators and 0 bullish ones. The technical score is 3.07, suggesting it is best to avoid the stock for now.

Recent indicator activity includes:

• 2025-09-02: WR Overbought, Bullish Engulfing
• 2025-08-28: WR Overbought, Marubozu White
• 2025-09-04: WR Overbought

These signals point to a volatile and uncertain trend. The Marubozu White pattern (score: 2.06) and WR Overbought (score: 2.92) are both bearish, with the former indicating a potential sell-off and the latter a sign of overbought conditions that could reverse. The Bullish Engulfing (score: 4.23) is the only positive signal, but it's not enough to offset the negatives.

Key insights: The market is in a volatile state, and bearish signals dominate. Internal diagnostic scores (0-10) show bearish dominance.

Conclusion

While Take-Two Interactive has a positive price trend and strong analyst backing, the technical outlook remains weak, with mixed money flows and bearish indicators. Investors may want to wait for a clearer trend or a pullback before entering or adding to positions. The fundamental score of 5.77 is decent, but the technical score of 3.07 and recent bearish signals should not be ignored.