Stock Analysis | Amcor Outlook - Weak Technicals and Mixed Analyst Signals

Market Snapshot

Amcor (AMCR) appears to be in a technical slump, with bearish signals outweighing bullish ones and a weak internal diagnostic score of 3.31.

News Highlights

Recent news highlights include a growing global focus on sustainable packaging solutions, with EPE USA leading the charge by developing reusable and recyclable materials. Additionally, India's Himachal Pradesh has launched a deposit refund scheme to reduce plastic waste, and Cleanfarms has introduced a pilot program to support agricultural plastic recycling in Canada. These moves reflect an ongoing trend toward eco-friendly packaging, which could benefit the broader industry but may not directly impact Amcor’s current technical conditions.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

The average analyst rating for Amcor is a 4.67 (simple mean), while the performance-weighted rating is 1.07. This suggests a disparity in the views of analysts: although two out of three active analysts recently gave 'Strong Buy' or 'Buy' ratings, their historical performance does not support strong confidence, with one analyst having a 0.00% win rate over the past 20 days.

Amcor’s fundamentals received an internal diagnostic score of 2.71, indicating a mixed picture. Key fundamental factor values include:

• Gross Profit Margin (GPM): 19.65% — scored 2.71
• Annualized Return on Equity (ROE): 18.47% — scored 1.03
• Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities / Operating Revenue: 2.41% — scored 1.03
• Asset-Liability Ratio: 76.55% — scored 1.27
• Equity Multiplier (DuPont): 4.26 — scored 1.24

While GPM appears to be the strongest fundamental, other metrics like ROE and asset-liability ratio suggest caution.

Money-Flow Trends

Despite the mixed fundamentals, Amcor is seeing strong institutional inflows, with extra-large investors showing a 50.29% inflow ratio and an internal diagnostic score of 7.96, indicating a positive trend in big-money activity. On the other hand, small investors are showing a 49.69% outflow ratio, suggesting retail caution or profit-taking. This contrast between institutional and retail flows highlights a potential tug-of-war in market sentiment.

Key Technical Signals

Amcor’s technical outlook is weak. The internal diagnostic technical score is 3.31, and bearish indicators dominate with 3 out of 4 signals being negative. Recent chart patterns include:

• Bearish Engulfing on 2025-08-11 — a bullish pattern, but only one of four indicators in recent days.
• WR Overbought on 2025-08-08 — a bearish signal with an internal score of 1.03.
• MACD Death Cross on 2025-07-28 — a bearish signal with an internal score of 1.35.
• WR Oversold on 2025-07-31 — a neutral signal with an internal score of 3.01.

Overall, the technical momentum is unclear and bearish signals are dominant, suggesting a weak trend in the near term.

Conclusion

Amcor faces a challenging near-term outlook. With weak technical indicators, mixed analyst sentiment, and modest fundamental strength, investors may want to wait for clearer signals before committing to a trade. Those who are currently long may consider tightening stop-loss levels given the bearish technical setup. Keep an eye on upcoming developments in the sustainable packaging sector and any potential earnings surprises that could shift sentiment.