Stablecoins en 2025: Claridad regulatoria, uso ilícito y el auge de sistemas de cumplimiento diseñados para ello.

In 2025, stablecoins emerged as a cornerstone of the global financial system, but their trajectory was shaped by a seismic shift in regulatory frameworks, persistent illicit activity, and the rise of compliance-by-design systems. For investors, this year marked a critical inflection point: the sector transitioned from a Wild West of innovation to a more structured, albeit complex, landscape. Understanding the interplay between these forces is essential for assessing stablecoin investment risk and opportunity.

Regulatory Clarity: A New Era of Governance

The U.S. and EU led the charge in 2025 with landmark legislation. The Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, passed in July 2025, established the first federal framework for stablecoin issuance, mandating one-to-one reserve backing, monthly public attestations, and strict AML/KYC compliance. This legislation not only addressed long-standing concerns about reserve transparency but also aligned the U.S. with the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which became fully effective in January 2025.

Globally, over 70% of jurisdictions advanced new stablecoin frameworks, with Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, and the UAE implementing rules emphasizing reserve adequacy and consumer protections. These developments reduced systemic risks like reserve inadequacy and fraud, fostering investor confidence. However, they also introduced challenges: cross-border interoperability issues, higher compliance costs, and the potential for market consolidation as smaller issuers struggled to meet stringent requirements according to analysis.

For investors, the regulatory clarity of 2025 created a dual-edged sword. On one hand, stablecoins issued in compliant jurisdictions became safer assets, enabling institutional adoption in tokenized money market funds and commodities. On the other, the regulatory burden could stifle innovation in less-developed markets, limiting diversification opportunities.

Illicit Use: Stablecoins as a Double-Edged Sword

Despite regulatory progress, stablecoins remained a favored tool for illicit activity. According to a report by Visa, stablecoins accounted for 63% of all illicit transaction volume in 2025, outpacing Bitcoin in money laundering and cross-border transfers. While ransomware and darknet market (DNM) sales still relied heavily on BTC, stablecoins' stability and ease of use made them ideal for large-scale illicit transfers.

A stark example emerged in late 2025 when North Korea's hackers exploited vulnerabilities in a non-compliant exchange, Bybit, to siphon $1.5 billion in Ethereum. This incident highlighted the risks of weak regulatory frameworks in jurisdictions like Dubai and Singapore, where compliance-by-design systems were either absent or inconsistently enforced according to research. For investors, the lesson was clear: stablecoins issued or traded in poorly regulated markets carried heightened exposure to fraud and regulatory backlash.

Compliance-by-Design: A Shield Against Illicit Activity

The rise of compliance-by-design systems in 2025 offered a counterbalance to these risks. Frameworks like the GENIUS Act and MiCA mandated transparency in stablecoin operations, requiring real-time reserve audits and public disclosures. These systems proved effective: virtual asset service providers (VASPs) operating under them saw significantly lower rates of illicit activity compared to the broader crypto ecosystem.

Tools like Beacon Network, an industry-first real-time information-sharing platform, further bolstered compliance. By enabling over 75% of global crypto volume to be monitored for suspicious activity, Beacon Network demonstrated how technology could complement regulation. However, gaps persisted. Jurisdictions without robust frameworks remained vulnerable, underscoring the need for global collaboration.

Investment Risk and Opportunity: Navigating the New Normal

For investors, 2025's regulatory transformation created a bifurcated landscape. On the opportunity side:
- Compliant stablecoins became safer, more liquid assets, attracting institutional capital.
- Tokenized commodities and money market funds gained traction as stablecoins became a reliable medium of exchange according to analysis.
- Cross-border trade expanded, as stablecoins offered faster, cheaper alternatives to traditional banking systems in regulated markets according to reports.

Yet risks lingered:
- Regulatory arbitrage persisted, with illicit actors exploiting weaker jurisdictions.
- Market consolidation loomed, as smaller issuers failed to meet compliance costs according to analysis.
- Technical challenges in cross-border stablecoins, such as conflicting passporting regimes, could delay adoption.

Investors must now prioritize stablecoins issued in jurisdictions with mature frameworks (e.g., the U.S., EU) and avoid those in regulatory gray zones. Additionally, monitoring developments in compliance technology-like Beacon Network-could provide early signals of systemic risk.

Conclusion

2025 was a year of reckoning for stablecoins. Regulatory clarity brought stability but also complexity, while illicit activity underscored the need for vigilance. Compliance-by-design systems emerged as a critical defense, yet their effectiveness hinged on global consistency. For investors, the path forward lies in balancing the opportunities of a maturing market with the risks of a still-evolving regulatory ecosystem. As the sector moves into 2026, the winners will be those who adapt to the new normal-where compliance is not a burden, but a competitive advantage.