Rotación de pequeñas compañías en medio de expectativas de alivio de la Fed: reasignación estratégica hacia Russell 2000 y proveedores de IA

The U.S. equity market is undergoing a pivotal shift as investors increasingly pivot toward small-cap stocks and AI infrastructure enablers, driven by dovish signals and surging demand for next-generation technology. The , a bellwether for small-cap equities, has as of December 2025, outpacing broader market benchmarks and signaling a robust rotation into smaller, high-growth companies. This momentum follows a dramatic rebound from early-year volatility, with the index rallying 19.51% from April 8 . Meanwhile, AI infrastructure stocks like Palantir Technologies (PLTR) and Ciena Corporation (CIEN) have emerged as standout performers, reflecting the market's anticipation of a technology-driven economic renaissance.

Russell 2000: A Resilient Outperformer in a Dovish Climate

. This trajectory highlights the index's ability to capitalize on macroeconomic tailwinds, particularly the Fed's aggressive . The 's December 2025 decision to lower the , sending a clear signal of . Such measures have historically favored , which are more sensitive to interest rate changes and economic stimulus.

The further reinforces this narrative. Released on December 9, 2025, the data revealed 7.67 million job openings in October, a modest increase but still below pre-2025 levels. , . These figures, , . This delicate balance has created a fertile environment for small-cap stocks, which often thrive in periods of moderate inflation and accommodative monetary policy.

AI Infrastructure: The New Engine of Growth

As the Fed navigates this fragile , demand for has surged, propelling companies like Palantir and Ciena to the forefront of investor attention. Palantir Technologies, a leader in , has in 2025, . commercial revenue. The company's AI platform has become a critical tool for enterprises seeking to harness , with its Q3 2025 results prompting management to raise full-year revenue guidance.

Ciena Corporation, a key player in , has similarly benefited from the . Its stock following strong Q4 revenue reports, reflecting growing demand for high-speed data networks to support . While Ciena's stock exhibited volatility in November- , driven by strategic investments in and cloud infrastructure.

Strategic Implications for Investors

The confluence of , a cooling labor market, and presents a compelling case for tactical reallocation into the Russell 2000 and AI-enablers. , with their higher growth potential and sensitivity to monetary policy, are well-positioned to outperform in a . Meanwhile, AI infrastructure firms like Palantir and Ciena offer exposure to a poised for sustained demand.

However, investors must remain cognizant of risks. The Fed's internal divisions over future rate cuts-exacerbated by uncertainty surrounding its next chair-introduce volatility into the equation. Additionally, AI infrastructure's capital-intensive nature means earnings reports will be critical in sustaining momentum. For now, though, the data suggests a strong case for in these high-conviction areas.

Source

[1] Small Cap Value – Q2 2025 Commentary [https://www.kennedycapital.com/small-cap-value-comm-q2-2025/]
[2] Russell 2000 Index Overview - RUT [https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/index/rut?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqd-vW2v6p2h6wgOFi736NWzleGONmhTxJHvKRUa3a7dQvOCU5CqgZwK&gaa_sig=IyXraCeGDAEshnvdNMVeapXQekBV5UyUzVuwutAX8mtoVfhFTppdUXW6F1qyphwy4m3QgIlNNWqNMY2TUvU5vw%3D%3D&gaa_ts=693b1309]
[3] Historical Average Returns of the Russell 2000 Index (IWM) [https://tradethatswing.com/historical-average-returns-of-the-russell-2000-index-iwm/?srsltid=AfmBOoqlMMRBmFx7B7wQ8ei44xQ6WWbyojy2SwxsW1mYrC4iHG22pQ-_]
[4] The Fed vs. AI [https://www.fxstreet.com/news/the-fed-vs-ai-202512102355]
[5] The Fed delivers a rare 'hawkish cut' as Powell tries to steady a softening job market [https://fortune.com/2025/12/10/fed-cuts-rate-december-hawkish-rare-2026/]
[6] Palantir Reports Q3 2025 US Comm Revenue Growth of 121% YY and Revenue Growth of 63% YY ... [https://investors.palantir.com/news-details/2025/Palantir-Reports-Q3-2025-U-S--Comm-Revenue-Growth-of-121-YY-and-Revenue-Growth-of-63-YY-Guides-Q4-Revenue-to-61-YY-and-U-S--Comm-Revenue-to-121-YY-Raises-FY-2025-Revenue-Guidance-to-53-YY-Crushing-Consensus-Expectations/]
[7] Stocks Mixed as a Plunge in Oracle Weighs on Tech Stocks [https://www.barchart.com/story/news/36574931/stocks-mixed-as-a-plunge-in-oracle-weighs-on-tech-stocks]
[8] Ciena (CIEN) Stock Price & Overview [https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/cien/]
[9] Palantir Technologies - 5 Year Stock Price History | PLTR [https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/PLTR/palantir-technologies/stock-price-history]
[10] Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Historical Prices & ... [https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/PLTR/history/]
[11] U.S. dollar gains after jobs report, as Fed decision nears [https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/09/yen-resilient-after-earthquake-hits-japan-fed-and-rba-in-view.html]