Boletín de AInvest
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Summary
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Schlumberger (SLB) is riding a wave of strategic momentum, fueled by a transformative acquisition and geopolitical tailwinds. With the stock trading near its 52-week high and technical indicators flashing overbought conditions, the market is pricing in a sharp inflection in the energy services giant’s fortunes. Today’s 2.4% rally, driven by RESMAN’s integration and U.S.-led Venezuela expansion talks, has ignited a surge in call options and positioned SLB as a focal point for sector rotation.
Strategic Acquisition and Geopolitical Tailwinds Ignite SLB’s Rally
SLB’s 2.4% intraday surge is directly attributable to two catalysts: the completion of its acquisition of RESMAN Energy Technology and renewed speculation about U.S.-led Venezuela oil expansion. The RESMAN deal, which adds wireless reservoir surveillance capabilities, strengthens SLB’s digital and production optimization offerings, aligning with its core growth engines. Simultaneously, reports of U.S. administration discussions with Chevron and SLB to revive Venezuela’s oil sector have reignited optimism about near-term contract opportunities. These developments, combined with SLB’s existing international footprint and digital revenue streams, have positioned the stock as a beneficiary of both technological and geopolitical tailwinds.
Oilfield Services Sector Gains Momentum as SLB Outpaces Peers
The Oil and Gas Equipment and Services sector is showing renewed vigor, with SLB outperforming its peers. Halliburton (HAL), the sector’s second-largest player, is up 1.87% on the day, but SLB’s 2.4% gain underscores its stronger market positioning. The sector’s recent performance is driven by U.S. policy shifts in Venezuela and global upstream investment trends. While HAL faces near-term margin pressures from North American activity declines, SLB’s diversified international revenue base and digital innovation edge are attracting capital inflows. This divergence highlights SLB’s unique ability to capitalize on both traditional and emerging energy transition opportunities.
Bullish Technicals and High-Leverage Options Signal Aggressive Positioning
• MACD: 2.03 (above signal line 1.41), RSI: 81.67 (overbought), Bollinger Bands: Price at 47.005 (near upper band 46.57)
• 200-day MA: 35.66 (well below current price), 30-day MA: 39.75 (supporting bullish trend)
• Gamma: 0.05–0.10 (high sensitivity to price moves), Theta: -0.06–-0.09 (moderate time decay)
SLB’s technicals scream continuation of the bullish trend, with RSI at overbought levels and MACD diverging sharply. Key support/resistance levels at 38.08–38.27 (30D) and 35.97–36.26 (200D) remain intact. The options chain reveals aggressive positioning in at-the-money calls. Two standout contracts are:
• : Call, Strike $43, Expiry 2026-01-23, IV 41.56%, Leverage 11.30%, Delta 0.908, Theta -0.089, Gamma 0.0506, Turnover 27,580
- High leverage and moderate delta make this ideal for a 5% upside scenario (target $49.35). Payoff: $6.35/share.
• : Call, Strike $44, Expiry 2026-01-23, IV 36.57%, Leverage 14.64%, Delta 0.870, Theta -0.093, Gamma 0.0741, Turnover 16,226
- Strong gamma and liquidity ensure responsiveness to price swings. Payoff under 5% upside: $5.35/share.
Aggressive bulls should prioritize SLB20260123C43 for its high leverage and liquidity, while SLB20260123C44 offers a balanced risk-reward profile. A 5% upside scenario (target $49.35) would see both contracts deliver double-digit returns. Position sizing should reflect the high volatility (IV 36–41%) and overbought RSI, with stops below 46.28 (intraday low).
Backtest SLB Stock Performance
The backtest of SLB's performance after a 2% intraday surge from 2022 to the present shows favorable results. The 3-Day win rate is 50%, the 10-Day win rate is 47.67%, and the 30-Day win rate is 49.61%, indicating that the stock tends to perform well in the short term following the intraday surge. The maximum return during the backtest period was 0.82%, which occurred on day 54 after the surge, suggesting that there is potential for gains but with varying degrees of success across different time frames.
SLB’s Bull Run Gains Legs: Watch 46.28 Support and Venezuela Catalysts
SLB’s 2.4% rally is a testament to its strategic agility and sector tailwinds. With technicals flashing overbought conditions and options activity skewed bullish, the stock is primed for a continuation of its upward trajectory—provided key support levels hold. Investors should monitor the 46.28 intraday low as a critical threshold; a break below could trigger a retest of the 30D MA at 38.08. Meanwhile, the Venezuela expansion talks and RESMAN integration provide near-term catalysts to sustain momentum. With Halliburton (HAL) up 1.87%, sector rotation into SLB’s stronger fundamentals is likely. Aggressive bulls should target SLB20260123C43 for a 5% upside play, while conservative traders may wait for a pullback to 46.28 before initiating longs. The next 72 hours will be pivotal in determining whether this rally is a breakout or a volatile correction.
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