Shopify (SHOP) avanza un 2,04% gracias al impulso impulsado por IA y la reactivación de comercio electrónico

Summary
• Shopify (SHOP) trades at $166.48, up 2.04% intraday with a range of $165.68–$170.33
• Recent earnings and strategic AI partnerships drive merchant solutions growth of 38% YoY
• Options chain shows heightened activity in call options with strike prices above $170

Shopify’s stock surged 2.04% in volatile trading as robust earnings and AI-driven merchant solutions fueled optimism. The stock’s intraday high of $170.33 reflects strong demand for its platform amid global e-commerce expansion. With a dynamic PE ratio of 333 and a 52-week high of $182.19, investors are betting on Shopify’s ability to sustain growth despite high valuations.

AI Integration and E-Commerce Resurgence Fuel Shopify's Surge
Shopify’s rally stems from its strategic AI-driven personalization tools and expanded merchant solutions, which grew 38% YoY in Q3 2025. The platform’s ability to automate pricing, optimize checkout, and streamline logistics has reduced operational friction for small businesses, enhancing retention. Additionally, international GMV growth of 42% in Europe and partnerships with Temu and Klarna have broadened its global footprint. These factors, combined with a 26.16% five-year revenue CAGR, position Shopify as a key player in the AI-powered e-commerce infrastructure boom.

ETF and Options Playbook: Leverage AI-Driven Momentum with Direxion Daily SHOP Bull 2X ETF and Strategic Call Options
• MACD: 1.94 (bullish divergence), Signal Line: 1.12, Histogram: 0.81 (momentum)
• RSI: 55.68 (neutral to overbought threshold)
• Bollinger Bands: Upper $171.80, Middle $156.88, Lower $141.96 (price near upper band)
• 30D MA: $155.89 (price above), 100D MA: $151.41 (bullish crossover)

Shopify’s technicals suggest a continuation of its bullish trend, with key support at $156.88 and resistance at $171.80. The Direxion Daily SHOP Bull 2X ETF (SHPU) offers 2x leverage for aggressive exposure, though its 3.82% intraday gain highlights short-term volatility. For options, two contracts stand out:

• SHOP20251226C170 (Call, $170 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 42.92% (moderate)
- Leverage Ratio: 55.25% (high)
- Delta: 0.38 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.47 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.032 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 155,001 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($174.75): $4.75/share
- This contract balances leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a breakout above $170.

• SHOP20251226C172.5 (Call, $172.5 strike, 12/26 expiry):
- IV: 45.40% (moderate)
- Leverage Ratio: 67.66% (high)
- Delta: 0.316 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.429 (rapid decay)
- Gamma: 0.0286 (high sensitivity)
- Turnover: 64,372 (liquid)
- Payoff at 5% upside ($174.75): $2.25/share
- Offers higher leverage for a more aggressive play, suitable for a push toward $175.

Aggressive bulls should target SHOP20251226C170 into a break above $170.50, with a stop-loss at $165.68. For a longer-term bet, SHOP20251226C172.5 could capitalize on a sustained rally toward $180.

Backtest Shopify Stock Performance
After a 2% intraday increase from 2022 to now, the performance of Shopify (SHOP) has shown mixed results in the backtest. While the 3-Day, 10-Day, and 30-Day win rates are high at 50.53%, 67.37%, and 81.05%, respectively, the average returns over these periods are relatively low, with a maximum return of 19.41% over 30 days. This suggests that while SHOP has a strong short-term momentum, the overall performance following the intraday surge has been modest.

Bullish Setup Confirmed: Target $175 as Shopify's AI-Driven Growth Accelerates
Shopify’s AI-powered infrastructure and global expansion validate its 2.04% intraday surge. With a 38% YoY growth in merchant solutions and a 42% YoY increase in European GMV, the stock is well-positioned to test its 52-week high of $182.19. Investors should monitor the $170.50 level for a breakout confirmation and watch for a breakdown below $165.68 to trigger short-term volatility. For immediate action, SHOP20251226C170 offers a high-leverage play on a $175 target, while the Direxion Daily SHOP Bull 2X ETF (SHPU) provides amplified exposure to the broader e-commerce rebound. As Amazon (AMZN) rises 0.41%, cross-sector momentum suggests Shopify’s rally has legs—provided it sustains above $168.50.